Trader consensus heavily favors Benoît Saint Denis at 50.5% implied probability for Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight bout, driven by UFC CEO Dana White's recent confirmation that the matchup is "very likely" following Pimblett's submission win over Bobby Green at UFC 304 and Saint Denis's split-decision victory over Renato Moicano at UFC 311. Dan Hooker's 29.5% share stems from their simmering rivalry and Hooker's post-fight callout after his loss to Islam Makhachev, positioning it as a fan-friendly UK clash. Arman Tsarukyan's 27.8% reflects his top-5 ranking and title-contender status, though his schedule congestion tempers odds. Lower probabilities for Gamrot, Fiziev, and McGregor highlight stylistic mismatches and injury recoveries, with markets pricing in Pimblett's momentum amid lightweight division reshuffling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Benoît Saint Denis 49%
丹·胡克 40%
Mateusz Gamrot 10%
拉斐爾·菲齊耶夫 7%
Benoît Saint Denis
49%
丹·胡克
40%
Mateusz Gamrot
10%
拉斐爾·菲齊耶夫
7%
阿爾曼·察魯基揚
24%
康納·麥格雷格
3%
Benoît Saint Denis 49%
丹·胡克 40%
Mateusz Gamrot 10%
拉斐爾·菲齊耶夫 7%
Benoît Saint Denis
49%
丹·胡克
40%
Mateusz Gamrot
10%
拉斐爾·菲齊耶夫
7%
阿爾曼·察魯基揚
24%
康納·麥格雷格
3%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市場開放時間: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Benoît Saint Denis at 50.5% implied probability for Paddy Pimblett's next lightweight bout, driven by UFC CEO Dana White's recent confirmation that the matchup is "very likely" following Pimblett's submission win over Bobby Green at UFC 304 and Saint Denis's split-decision victory over Renato Moicano at UFC 311. Dan Hooker's 29.5% share stems from their simmering rivalry and Hooker's post-fight callout after his loss to Islam Makhachev, positioning it as a fan-friendly UK clash. Arman Tsarukyan's 27.8% reflects his top-5 ranking and title-contender status, though his schedule congestion tempers odds. Lower probabilities for Gamrot, Fiziev, and McGregor highlight stylistic mismatches and injury recoveries, with markets pricing in Pimblett's momentum amid lightweight division reshuffling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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