Trader consensus heavily favors Khamzat Chimaev at 69.5% implied probability to hold UFC Middleweight title by end-2026, reflecting his undefeated 13-0 record, smothering wrestling, and knockout power despite last week's illness-forced withdrawal from UFC 308's co-main against Robert Whittaker—his first fight since majority decision over Kamaru Usman a year ago. Current champion Dricus du Plessis lingers at 5% post his rear-naked choke retention over Israel Adesanya at UFC 305 in August, with traders citing exploitable takedown defense and cardio issues. Sean Strickland (12.5%), top-ranked after title loss to du Plessis, and surging Nassourdine Imavov (10%), fresh off wins over Jared Cannonier and Joe Pyfer, represent credible challengers in a fluid division eyeing 2025 title shots.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於哈姆扎特·奇馬耶夫 70%
納索丁·伊馬沃夫 16%
Sean Strickland 12.5%
Dricus Du Plessis 5.0%
$337,777 交易量
$337,777 交易量
哈姆扎特·奇馬耶夫
70%
納索丁·伊馬沃夫
16%
Sean Strickland
13%
Dricus Du Plessis
5%
Caio Borralho
2%
Brendan Allen
1%
雷尼爾·德·里德
1%
安東尼·赫南德茲
1%
以色列·阿迪薩亞
1%
賈里德·坎諾尼爾
1%
羅伯特·惠特克
1%
哈姆扎特·奇馬耶夫 70%
納索丁·伊馬沃夫 16%
Sean Strickland 12.5%
Dricus Du Plessis 5.0%
$337,777 交易量
$337,777 交易量
哈姆扎特·奇馬耶夫
70%
納索丁·伊馬沃夫
16%
Sean Strickland
13%
Dricus Du Plessis
5%
Caio Borralho
2%
Brendan Allen
1%
雷尼爾·德·里德
1%
安東尼·赫南德茲
1%
以色列·阿迪薩亞
1%
賈里德·坎諾尼爾
1%
羅伯特·惠特克
1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
市場開放時間: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Khamzat Chimaev at 69.5% implied probability to hold UFC Middleweight title by end-2026, reflecting his undefeated 13-0 record, smothering wrestling, and knockout power despite last week's illness-forced withdrawal from UFC 308's co-main against Robert Whittaker—his first fight since majority decision over Kamaru Usman a year ago. Current champion Dricus du Plessis lingers at 5% post his rear-naked choke retention over Israel Adesanya at UFC 305 in August, with traders citing exploitable takedown defense and cardio issues. Sean Strickland (12.5%), top-ranked after title loss to du Plessis, and surging Nassourdine Imavov (10%), fresh off wins over Jared Cannonier and Joe Pyfer, represent credible challengers in a fluid division eyeing 2025 title shots.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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