誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？

Name: 誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？
Start: 2026-01-02T22:55:56.279Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

運動·UFC

誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？

約書亞·范 50%

亞歷山大·潘托亞 30%

堀口恭司 5.2%

提姆·艾略特 2.6%

NEW

Dec 31, 2026

約書亞·范

$0 交易量

50%

亞歷山大·潘托亞

$0 交易量

40%

堀口恭司

$236 交易量

提姆·艾略特

$218 交易量

阿米爾·阿爾巴齊

$216 交易量

阿蘇·阿爾馬巴耶夫

$163 交易量

<1%

布蘭登·莫雷諾

$154 交易量

<1%

Brandon Royval

$164 交易量

<1%

史蒂夫·埃爾塞格

$163 交易量

<1%

馬內爾·卡佩

$0 交易量

33%

平良達郎

$0 交易量

36%

約書亞·范 50%

亞歷山大·潘托亞 30%

堀口恭司 5.2%

提姆·艾略特 2.6%

NEW

Dec 31, 2026

約書亞·范

$0 交易量

50%

亞歷山大·潘托亞

$0 交易量

40%

堀口恭司

$236 交易量

提姆·艾略特

$218 交易量

阿米爾·阿爾巴齊

$216 交易量

阿蘇·阿爾馬巴耶夫

$163 交易量

<1%

布蘭登·莫雷諾

$154 交易量

<1%

Brandon Royval

$164 交易量

<1%

史蒂夫·埃爾塞格

$163 交易量

<1%

馬內爾·卡佩

$0 交易量

33%

平良達郎

$0 交易量

36%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Alexandre Pantoja leads trader consensus at 40% implied probability to be UFC Flyweight champion by end-2026 after submitting Brandon Royval in the third round at UFC 310 on December 7, marking his third title defense and extending a dominant five-fight win streak anchored by elite grappling. Tatsuro Taira (35.5%), undefeated at 16-0 and ranked #3, closes the gap with suffocating pressure and recent decision win over Alex Perez, setting up a critical contender clash versus Manel Kape (#5, 32.5%) at UFC 311 on January 18. Kape's knockout power from wins over Tim Elliott and others bolsters his case, while Joshua Van (25.5%) gains from recent finishes, underscoring the division's youth, stylistic matchups, and turnover risks keeping probabilities tightly contested over two years.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 10:43 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞歷山大·潘托亞" at 40%, followed by "平良達郎" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" is "亞歷山大·潘托亞" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "平良達郎" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 40¢ for "亞歷山大·潘托亞" in the "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 40% chance that "亞歷山大·潘托亞" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 40¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 60¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？

誰將在2026年底成為UFC飛量級冠軍？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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