**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$475,315 交易量
2026-12-31
史蒂夫·威特考夫
24%
J.D. Vance
23%
賈里德·庫什納
21%
阿巴斯·阿拉格奇
20%
穆罕默德·巴蓋爾·加利巴夫
20%
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
18%
尼克·斯圖爾特
18%
巴德爾·本·哈馬德·阿勒布賽義
17%
卡澤姆·加里巴巴迪
16%
伊沙克·達爾
16%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
12%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒薩尼
11%
拉斐爾·格羅西
11%
馬蘇德·佩澤什基安
10%
馬可·魯比奧
7%
唐納德·川普
6%
埃斯邁爾·卡阿尼
6%
彼特·海格塞斯
6%
阿赫馬德·瓦希迪
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
$475,315 交易量
史蒂夫·威特考夫
$33,284 交易量
24%
J.D. Vance
$29,329 交易量
23%
賈里德·庫什納
$67,674 交易量
21%
阿巴斯·阿拉格奇
$19,759 交易量
20%
穆罕默德·巴蓋爾·加利巴夫
$21,466 交易量
20%
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
$17,270 交易量
18%
尼克·斯圖爾特
$12,950 交易量
18%
巴德爾·本·哈馬德·阿勒布賽義
$31,079 交易量
17%
卡澤姆·加里巴巴迪
$19,847 交易量
16%
伊沙克·達爾
$23,559 交易量
16%
穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼
$5,526 交易量
12%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒薩尼
$40,181 交易量
11%
拉斐爾·格羅西
$36,253 交易量
11%
馬蘇德·佩澤什基安
$24,252 交易量
10%
馬可·魯比奧
$13,764 交易量
7%
唐納德·川普
$9,806 交易量
6%
埃斯邁爾·卡阿尼
$11,520 交易量
6%
彼特·海格塞斯
$20,123 交易量
6%
阿赫馬德·瓦希迪
$14,466 交易量
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$23,208 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$475,315結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$475,315結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET**US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the June 2026 interim memorandum of understanding that paused major hostilities and launched a 60-day window for talks on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and a Lebanon ceasefire.** High-level meetings in Switzerland produced a roadmap and technical working groups, but the period expired without a final accord. Tit-for-tat strikes resumed around the Strait of Hormuz in late June and early September, including US responses to Iranian actions on shipping and Iranian missile strikes on US-linked targets. President Trump has issued warnings of further measures while mediators Qatar and Pakistan continue shuttle efforts. Key variables for any round before December 31 include verifiable implementation steps on sanctions waivers or IAEA access, de-escalation in Hormuz and Lebanon, and whether delegations advance beyond technical channels amid persistent mutual distrust.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions