Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models drive the strong market consensus through consistent top rankings on major text-to-video arenas, native audio synthesis with synchronized dialogue and effects, strong prompt adherence, character consistency, and seamless extensions to longer clips. Updates through mid-2026 added vertical output, 4K upscaling, and multimodal controls via the Gemini API and Flow tools, reinforcing competitive positioning ahead of the September resolution. Other developers, including those behind Seedance, Kling, and Runway, deliver competitive motion quality or specialized features in select benchmarks but trail in overall trader-assessed leadership and integrated capabilities. The imminent deprecation of OpenAI's Sora further narrows the field, highlighting Google's current edge in production-ready artificial intelligence video generation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 88%
Luma AI 3.8%
Runway 3.6%
字節跳動 1.4%
$21,459 交易量
$21,459 交易量
2026-09-30
88%
Luma AI
4%
Runway
4%
字節跳動
1%
MiniMax
1%
Pruna
1%
騰訊
1%
Pixverse
1%
Genmo AI
1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
1%
Pika
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Meta
<1%
Google 88%
Luma AI 3.8%
Runway 3.6%
字節跳動 1.4%
$21,459 交易量
$21,459 交易量
2026-09-30
$14,227 交易量
88%
Luma AI
$400 交易量
4%
Runway
$547 交易量
4%
字節跳動
$982 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$645 交易量
1%
Pruna
$399 交易量
1%
騰訊
$350 交易量
1%
Pixverse
$370 交易量
1%
Genmo AI
$436 交易量
1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$365 交易量
1%
Pika
$453 交易量
<1%
OpenAI
$378 交易量
<1%
KlingAI
$413 交易量
<1%
Lightricks
$422 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$458 交易量
<1%
Kandinsky
$370 交易量
<1%
Meta
$246 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models drive the strong market consensus through consistent top rankings on major text-to-video arenas, native audio synthesis with synchronized dialogue and effects, strong prompt adherence, character consistency, and seamless extensions to longer clips. Updates through mid-2026 added vertical output, 4K upscaling, and multimodal controls via the Gemini API and Flow tools, reinforcing competitive positioning ahead of the September resolution. Other developers, including those behind Seedance, Kling, and Runway, deliver competitive motion quality or specialized features in select benchmarks but trail in overall trader-assessed leadership and integrated capabilities. The imminent deprecation of OpenAI's Sora further narrows the field, highlighting Google's current edge in production-ready artificial intelligence video generation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$21,459結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models drive the strong market consensus through consistent top rankings on major text-to-video arenas, native audio synthesis with synchronized dialogue and effects, strong prompt adherence, character consistency, and seamless extensions to longer clips. Updates through mid-2026 added vertical output, 4K upscaling, and multimodal controls via the Gemini API and Flow tools, reinforcing competitive positioning ahead of the September resolution. Other developers, including those behind Seedance, Kling, and Runway, deliver competitive motion quality or specialized features in select benchmarks but trail in overall trader-assessed leadership and integrated capabilities. The imminent deprecation of OpenAI's Sora further narrows the field, highlighting Google's current edge in production-ready artificial intelligence video generation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$21,459結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETGoogle's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models drive the strong market consensus through consistent top rankings on major text-to-video arenas, native audio synthesis with synchronized dialogue and effects, strong prompt adherence, character consistency, and seamless extensions to longer clips. Updates through mid-2026 added vertical output, 4K upscaling, and multimodal controls via the Gemini API and Flow tools, reinforcing competitive positioning ahead of the September resolution. Other developers, including those behind Seedance, Kling, and Runway, deliver competitive motion quality or specialized features in select benchmarks but trail in overall trader-assessed leadership and integrated capabilities. The imminent deprecation of OpenAI's Sora further narrows the field, highlighting Google's current edge in production-ready artificial intelligence video generation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions