Anthropic’s late-May release of Claude Opus 4.8, following strong SWE-bench Verified scores from Opus 4.7, has solidified trader consensus around its leadership in coding large language models. Developers highlight the model’s superior instruction-following, agentic workflows, and performance on real GitHub issue resolution compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini releases. Widespread adoption through Claude Code tooling and consistent benchmark edges in autonomous software engineering tasks reinforce this positioning. A late surge by a competitor model on the specific end-of-May evaluation criteria or an unexpected shift in third-party coding leaderboards could still alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$120,519 交易量
$120,519 交易量

Anthropic
Yes

OpenAI
No

xAI
No

Baidu
No

Amazon
No

Mistral
No

Meituan
No

Microsoft
No

No

Alibaba
No

ByteDance
No

Moonshot
No

Z.ai
No

DeepSeek
No

Meta
No
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$120,519 交易量
$120,519 交易量

Anthropic
Yes

OpenAI
No

xAI
No

Baidu
No

Amazon
No

Mistral
No

Meituan
No

Microsoft
No

No

Alibaba
No

ByteDance
No

Moonshot
No

Z.ai
No

DeepSeek
No

Meta
No
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Anthropic’s late-May release of Claude Opus 4.8, following strong SWE-bench Verified scores from Opus 4.7, has solidified trader consensus around its leadership in coding large language models. Developers highlight the model’s superior instruction-following, agentic workflows, and performance on real GitHub issue resolution compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini releases. Widespread adoption through Claude Code tooling and consistent benchmark edges in autonomous software engineering tasks reinforce this positioning. A late surge by a competitor model on the specific end-of-May evaluation criteria or an unexpected shift in third-party coding leaderboards could still alter the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions