Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its Claude models holding the top spots on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard as of early September 2026. Claude Fable 5.1 Max leads with a 1765 score from community votes on agentic frontend coding tasks involving multi-step reasoning and tool use, bolstered by the July launch of Opus 5 and September release of Fable 5.1, which improved consistency on complex web app generation and debugging benchmarks. Close challengers like Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 Max and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail with lower vote volumes and overlapping confidence intervals, while OpenAI’s GPT variants sit further back; traders view Anthropic’s recent frontier releases and sustained leaderboard dominance as the decisive edge heading into October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 67%
OpenAI 17.0%
Moonshot 6.7%
阿里巴巴 5.3%
$54,524 交易量
$54,524 交易量
2026-10-31
Anthropic
67%
OpenAI
17%
Moonshot
7%
阿里巴巴
5%
3%
Z.ai
3%
騰訊
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
字節跳動
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Poolside
<1%
小米
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Anthropic 67%
OpenAI 17.0%
Moonshot 6.7%
阿里巴巴 5.3%
$54,524 交易量
$54,524 交易量
2026-10-31
Anthropic
$45,502 交易量
67%
OpenAI
$1,366 交易量
17%
Moonshot
$1,266 交易量
7%
阿里巴巴
$593 交易量
5%
$1,219 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$371 交易量
3%
騰訊
$410 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$487 交易量
1%
Meta
$506 交易量
1%
字節跳動
$396 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$412 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$420 交易量
<1%
小米
$382 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$356 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$274 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$563 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its Claude models holding the top spots on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard as of early September 2026. Claude Fable 5.1 Max leads with a 1765 score from community votes on agentic frontend coding tasks involving multi-step reasoning and tool use, bolstered by the July launch of Opus 5 and September release of Fable 5.1, which improved consistency on complex web app generation and debugging benchmarks. Close challengers like Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 Max and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail with lower vote volumes and overlapping confidence intervals, while OpenAI’s GPT variants sit further back; traders view Anthropic’s recent frontier releases and sustained leaderboard dominance as the decisive edge heading into October.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
交易量
$54,524結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its Claude models holding the top spots on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard as of early September 2026. Claude Fable 5.1 Max leads with a 1765 score from community votes on agentic frontend coding tasks involving multi-step reasoning and tool use, bolstered by the July launch of Opus 5 and September release of Fable 5.1, which improved consistency on complex web app generation and debugging benchmarks. Close challengers like Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 Max and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail with lower vote volumes and overlapping confidence intervals, while OpenAI’s GPT variants sit further back; traders view Anthropic’s recent frontier releases and sustained leaderboard dominance as the decisive edge heading into October.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$54,524結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETAnthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its Claude models holding the top spots on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard as of early September 2026. Claude Fable 5.1 Max leads with a 1765 score from community votes on agentic frontend coding tasks involving multi-step reasoning and tool use, bolstered by the July launch of Opus 5 and September release of Fable 5.1, which improved consistency on complex web app generation and debugging benchmarks. Close challengers like Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 Max and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 trail with lower vote volumes and overlapping confidence intervals, while OpenAI’s GPT variants sit further back; traders view Anthropic’s recent frontier releases and sustained leaderboard dominance as the decisive edge heading into October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions