Anthropic leads Code Arena WebDev trader sentiment at 88.5% implied probability because its latest Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 models hold the top spot on the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard as of early August 2026, posting Elo scores around 1686 with margins exceeding 90 points over competitors in frontend and agentic web development tasks. These models demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, UI generation, and tool use in blind pairwise evaluations, extending Anthropic’s established edge in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants trail at 5.7% amid slightly lower arena performance, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and other labs sit below 4% after earlier summer gains faded. With resolution at month-end and no imminent releases reported, traders see limited near-term disruption to the current hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 5.8%
Moonshot 3.7%
阿里巴巴 3.6%
$43,034 交易量
$43,034 交易量
2026-08-31
Anthropic
89%
OpenAI
6%
Moonshot
4%
阿里巴巴
4%
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
字節跳動
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
小米
<1%
Thinky
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 5.8%
Moonshot 3.7%
阿里巴巴 3.6%
$43,034 交易量
$43,034 交易量
2026-08-31
Anthropic
$29,373 交易量
89%
OpenAI
$1,093 交易量
6%
Moonshot
$4,679 交易量
4%
阿里巴巴
$974 交易量
4%
$913 交易量
2%
Z.ai
$712 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$610 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$576 交易量
<1%
Meta
$676 交易量
<1%
字節跳動
$458 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$532 交易量
<1%
小米
$336 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$525 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$530 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$488 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads Code Arena WebDev trader sentiment at 88.5% implied probability because its latest Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 models hold the top spot on the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard as of early August 2026, posting Elo scores around 1686 with margins exceeding 90 points over competitors in frontend and agentic web development tasks. These models demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, UI generation, and tool use in blind pairwise evaluations, extending Anthropic’s established edge in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants trail at 5.7% amid slightly lower arena performance, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and other labs sit below 4% after earlier summer gains faded. With resolution at month-end and no imminent releases reported, traders see limited near-term disruption to the current hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ET
交易量
$43,034結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads Code Arena WebDev trader sentiment at 88.5% implied probability because its latest Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 models hold the top spot on the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard as of early August 2026, posting Elo scores around 1686 with margins exceeding 90 points over competitors in frontend and agentic web development tasks. These models demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, UI generation, and tool use in blind pairwise evaluations, extending Anthropic’s established edge in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants trail at 5.7% amid slightly lower arena performance, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and other labs sit below 4% after earlier summer gains faded. With resolution at month-end and no imminent releases reported, traders see limited near-term disruption to the current hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$43,034結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 10:56 PM ETAnthropic leads Code Arena WebDev trader sentiment at 88.5% implied probability because its latest Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 models hold the top spot on the arena.ai WebDev leaderboard as of early August 2026, posting Elo scores around 1686 with margins exceeding 90 points over competitors in frontend and agentic web development tasks. These models demonstrate superior multi-step reasoning, UI generation, and tool use in blind pairwise evaluations, extending Anthropic’s established edge in coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants trail at 5.7% amid slightly lower arena performance, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and other labs sit below 4% after earlier summer gains faded. With resolution at month-end and no imminent releases reported, traders see limited near-term disruption to the current hierarchy.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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