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icon for 9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?

9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?

icon for 9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?

9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?

低於$1.176M 84%

$1.176M - $1.198M 14.8%

$122萬 - $124.2萬 <1%

$1.198M - $1.220M <1%

Polymarket

$50,499 交易量

低於$1.176M 84%

$1.176M - $1.198M 14.8%

$122萬 - $124.2萬 <1%

$1.198M - $1.220M <1%

Polymarket

$50,499 交易量

低於$1.176M

$24,915 交易量

84%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$14,822 交易量

15%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$2,306 交易量

<1%

$122萬 - $124.2萬

$2,195 交易量

<1%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$3,556 交易量

<1%

$1.264M - $1.284M

$1,293 交易量

<1%

$1.284M以上

$1,411 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent Zillow data through August 2026 show the San Francisco metro’s typical home value at $1,123,193 and median sale price at $1,162,270, levels that anchor trader expectations for the September 30 reading near or below $1.176 million. Tight inventory—down 14% year-over-year with only 8,196 homes listed—combined with AI-fueled luxury demand has sustained modest 2.3% annual appreciation without triggering the sharp monthly gains needed to breach higher brackets in the remaining two weeks. Mortgage-rate stability and a seller’s market (17-day median days on market, 107% sale-to-list ratio) reinforce the current pricing trajectory, while seasonal patterns and the short resolution window limit upside volatility. The 83.5% implied probability on the lowest outcome reflects this data-driven consensus among traders with capital at risk.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
交易量
$50,499
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Recent Zillow data through August 2026 show the San Francisco metro’s typical home value at $1,123,193 and median sale price at $1,162,270, levels that anchor trader expectations for the September 30 reading near or below $1.176 million. Tight inventory—down 14% year-over-year with only 8,196 homes listed—combined with AI-fueled luxury demand has sustained modest 2.3% annual appreciation without triggering the sharp monthly gains needed to breach higher brackets in the remaining two weeks. Mortgage-rate stability and a seller’s market (17-day median days on market, 107% sale-to-list ratio) reinforce the current pricing trajectory, while seasonal patterns and the short resolution window limit upside volatility. The 83.5% implied probability on the lowest outcome reflects this data-driven consensus among traders with capital at risk.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
交易量
$50,499
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "低於$1.176M" at 84%, followed by "$1.176M - $1.198M" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?" has generated $50.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?" is "低於$1.176M" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1.176M - $1.198M" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月30日舊金山都會區的房屋價值中位數是多少?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.