Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$663K - $689K 77.5%
$636K - $663K 15.0%
$689K以上 7.4%
$609K - $636K <1%
$73,430 交易量
$73,430 交易量
2026-09-29
低於$555K
1%
$555K - $582K
1%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
1%
$636K - $663K
15%
$663K - $689K
78%
$689K以上
7%
$663K - $689K 77.5%
$636K - $663K 15.0%
$689K以上 7.4%
$609K - $636K <1%
$73,430 交易量
$73,430 交易量
2026-09-29
低於$555K
$1,420 交易量
1%
$555K - $582K
$2,839 交易量
1%
$582K - $609K
$1,360 交易量
1%
$609K - $636K
$9,523 交易量
1%
$636K - $663K
$37,311 交易量
15%
$663K - $689K
$12,165 交易量
78%
$689K以上
$8,812 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
交易量
$73,430結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
交易量
$73,430結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETRecent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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