Recent hotter-than-expected February CPI and PPI data, showing core inflation at 3.2% year-over-year, have anchored trader consensus toward Powell signaling no March rate cut during his March 20 FOMC press conference, with markets implying over 95% odds of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Strong jobs report and resilient consumer spending reinforce views of a restrictive policy stance persisting amid sticky disinflation progress. The updated dot plot may project fewer 2024 cuts than December's median three, emphasizing data dependence. Traders watch for hints on quantitative tightening taper or balance sheet runoff, with sentiment reflecting wisdom of crowds on delayed easing amid robust growth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$49,405 交易量
通脹超過40次
是
通膨超過50次
是
通膨 60+ 次
否
百分比 20 次以上
是
食物/能源 3次以上
是
Dollar 2次以上
是
AI / 人工智慧三次以上
是
Fed / 聯邦儲備 7次以上
否
「沒有」三次以上
否
評論
否
疫情
是
對不起 / 請再說一遍
是
加密貨幣 / 比特幣
否
黃金 / 石油
是
Collect / Collected
否
Shutdown / Shut Down
否
延遲 / 延後
否
繼任者
是
可負擔性
否
最高法院
否
不是我們的責任
否
政治
否
speculate / speculation
是
模擬
否
失真
否
資產負債表
否
Signal
否
午安
是
退款
否
中國
否
波動
是
經濟衰退
是
戰爭
是
住房
是
伊朗
否
$49,405 交易量
通脹超過40次
是
通膨超過50次
是
通膨 60+ 次
否
百分比 20 次以上
是
食物/能源 3次以上
是
Dollar 2次以上
是
AI / 人工智慧三次以上
是
Fed / 聯邦儲備 7次以上
否
「沒有」三次以上
否
評論
否
疫情
是
對不起 / 請再說一遍
是
加密貨幣 / 比特幣
否
黃金 / 石油
是
Collect / Collected
否
Shutdown / Shut Down
否
延遲 / 延後
否
繼任者
是
可負擔性
否
最高法院
否
不是我們的責任
否
政治
否
speculate / speculation
是
模擬
否
失真
否
資產負債表
否
Signal
否
午安
是
退款
否
中國
否
波動
是
經濟衰退
是
戰爭
是
住房
是
伊朗
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
市場開放時間: Mar 3, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected February CPI and PPI data, showing core inflation at 3.2% year-over-year, have anchored trader consensus toward Powell signaling no March rate cut during his March 20 FOMC press conference, with markets implying over 95% odds of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Strong jobs report and resilient consumer spending reinforce views of a restrictive policy stance persisting amid sticky disinflation progress. The updated dot plot may project fewer 2024 cuts than December's median three, emphasizing data dependence. Traders watch for hints on quantitative tightening taper or balance sheet runoff, with sentiment reflecting wisdom of crowds on delayed easing amid robust growth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions