The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$75,687 交易量
2026-03-31
↑ 7000
否
↑ 6500
否
↑ 6000
是
↑ 5750
是
↑ 5500
是
↑ 5400
是
↑ 5300
是
↑ 5200
是
↑ 5100
是
↓ 4900
是
↓ 4800
否
↓ 4700
否
↓ 4600
否
↓ 4500
否
$75,687 交易量
↑ 7000
$8,194 交易量
否
↑ 6500
$8,087 交易量
否
↑ 6000
$7,040 交易量
是
↑ 5750
$2,004 交易量
是
↑ 5500
$2,034 交易量
是
↑ 5400
$1,700 交易量
是
↑ 5300
$6,603 交易量
是
↑ 5200
$928 交易量
是
↑ 5100
$1,947 交易量
是
↓ 4900
$1,989 交易量
是
↓ 4800
$15,834 交易量
否
↓ 4700
$3,900 交易量
否
↓ 4600
$7,593 交易量
否
↓ 4500
$7,835 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$75,687結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.
交易量
$75,687結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The KOSPI index (^KS11) has experienced extreme volatility in Q1 2026, peaking above 6,000 in late February on robust semiconductor exports and AI-driven demand for chips from Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, before plunging over 12% in early March—its worst single-day drop ever—amid escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which triggered energy shocks and heavy foreign selling of 3 trillion won. As of March 31 close, the index stands at 5,052, down 4.3% today with a session low of 5,043, reflecting battered memory chip stocks and heightened risk aversion. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices near-certainty against new quarterly highs above 6,500 while assigning modest 6-11% implied probabilities to breaching lows near 4,500-4,800 if geopolitical risks intensify. Key catalysts ahead include the Bank of Korea's April 10 policy meeting amid stable 1.9% inflation and Q1 earnings season starting next week, with semiconductor revenue trends pivotal for rebound potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions