Anthropic’s rapid revenue ramp—from a $47 billion run rate in May to over $65 billion by July—combined with its June confidential S-1 filing and October IPO window, underpins trader consensus favoring the $1.75–2.25 trillion range. Investors are pricing in continued Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and agentic workflows, alongside 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion, while noting the jump from the $965 billion Series H mark requires sustained execution amid intense competition from OpenAI and others. Key upcoming catalysts include the late-September prospectus and roadshow feedback that will clarify gross margins and compute economics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1.75–$2.00T 42%
$2.00–$2.25T 33.7%
$1.50–$1.75T 11.5%
$2.25–$2.50T 2.7%
$39,252 交易量
$39,252 交易量
<$1.25T
<1%
$1.25–$1.50T
1%
$1.50–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.00T
42%
$2.00–$2.25T
34%
$2.25–$2.50T
3%
$2.50T+
1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.00T 42%
$2.00–$2.25T 33.7%
$1.50–$1.75T 11.5%
$2.25–$2.50T 2.7%
$39,252 交易量
$39,252 交易量
<$1.25T
<1%
$1.25–$1.50T
1%
$1.50–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.00T
42%
$2.00–$2.25T
34%
$2.25–$2.50T
3%
$2.50T+
1%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:45 AM ET
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting.
If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date.
If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s rapid revenue ramp—from a $47 billion run rate in May to over $65 billion by July—combined with its June confidential S-1 filing and October IPO window, underpins trader consensus favoring the $1.75–2.25 trillion range. Investors are pricing in continued Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and agentic workflows, alongside 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion, while noting the jump from the $965 billion Series H mark requires sustained execution amid intense competition from OpenAI and others. Key upcoming catalysts include the late-September prospectus and roadshow feedback that will clarify gross margins and compute economics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions