US-Iran diplomatic talks and Strait of Hormuz security incidents have shaped recent oil sanction dynamics, with Treasury issuing a 60-day general license in late June 2026 permitting dollar-denominated Iranian crude and petrochemical sales through August 21 before revoking it on July 7 following tanker attacks. This reversal tightened global supply expectations and supported firmer Brent and WTI benchmarks amid ongoing regional tensions. Trader sentiment on reissuance by late August hinges on any renewed progress toward a broader framework, potential waivers tied to nuclear or shipping assurances, and the resulting impact on Iranian export volumes estimated at billions in revenue. Additional Treasury designations on evasion networks in mid-July reinforced enforcement pressure, while any reauthorization would likely ease near-term supply constraints and weigh on energy prices. Key upcoming catalysts include diplomatic updates and energy data releases that could shift implied probabilities around policy easing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$192,368 交易量
2026-08-31
August 31
27%
$192,368 交易量
August 31
$103,486 交易量
27%
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.US-Iran diplomatic talks and Strait of Hormuz security incidents have shaped recent oil sanction dynamics, with Treasury issuing a 60-day general license in late June 2026 permitting dollar-denominated Iranian crude and petrochemical sales through August 21 before revoking it on July 7 following tanker attacks. This reversal tightened global supply expectations and supported firmer Brent and WTI benchmarks amid ongoing regional tensions. Trader sentiment on reissuance by late August hinges on any renewed progress toward a broader framework, potential waivers tied to nuclear or shipping assurances, and the resulting impact on Iranian export volumes estimated at billions in revenue. Additional Treasury designations on evasion networks in mid-July reinforced enforcement pressure, while any reauthorization would likely ease near-term supply constraints and weigh on energy prices. Key upcoming catalysts include diplomatic updates and energy data releases that could shift implied probabilities around policy easing.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
交易量
$192,368結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.US-Iran diplomatic talks and Strait of Hormuz security incidents have shaped recent oil sanction dynamics, with Treasury issuing a 60-day general license in late June 2026 permitting dollar-denominated Iranian crude and petrochemical sales through August 21 before revoking it on July 7 following tanker attacks. This reversal tightened global supply expectations and supported firmer Brent and WTI benchmarks amid ongoing regional tensions. Trader sentiment on reissuance by late August hinges on any renewed progress toward a broader framework, potential waivers tied to nuclear or shipping assurances, and the resulting impact on Iranian export volumes estimated at billions in revenue. Additional Treasury designations on evasion networks in mid-July reinforced enforcement pressure, while any reauthorization would likely ease near-term supply constraints and weigh on energy prices. Key upcoming catalysts include diplomatic updates and energy data releases that could shift implied probabilities around policy easing.
On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part.
Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify.
Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.
交易量
$192,368結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic talks and Strait of Hormuz security incidents have shaped recent oil sanction dynamics, with Treasury issuing a 60-day general license in late June 2026 permitting dollar-denominated Iranian crude and petrochemical sales through August 21 before revoking it on July 7 following tanker attacks. This reversal tightened global supply expectations and supported firmer Brent and WTI benchmarks amid ongoing regional tensions. Trader sentiment on reissuance by late August hinges on any renewed progress toward a broader framework, potential waivers tied to nuclear or shipping assurances, and the resulting impact on Iranian export volumes estimated at billions in revenue. Additional Treasury designations on evasion networks in mid-July reinforced enforcement pressure, while any reauthorization would likely ease near-term supply constraints and weigh on energy prices. Key upcoming catalysts include diplomatic updates and energy data releases that could shift implied probabilities around policy easing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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