Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking places Q3 2026 real GDP growth near 4.4 percent annualized as of early September, reflecting solid contributions from consumer spending, nonresidential investment, and exports that have lifted market-implied odds of a ≥3.0 percent print to 45.5 percent. This contrasts with the unrevised 1.5 percent Q2 outcome and aligns with August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent. Sticky inflation, with August CPI at 3.4 percent and core PCE near 3.3 percent, sustains uncertainty over monetary policy and may temper the pace. Philadelphia Fed forecasters project 2.5 percent for the quarter, while St. Louis Fed nowcasts sit near 2.4 percent, underscoring the range of outcomes still possible before the late-October advance release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於≥3.0% 46%
2.0–2.5% 20%
2.5–3.0% 13%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,715 交易量
$25,715 交易量
2026-10-29
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
5%
1.5–2.0%
9%
2.0–2.5%
20%
2.5–3.0%
13%
≥3.0%
46%
≥3.0% 46%
2.0–2.5% 20%
2.5–3.0% 13%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$25,715 交易量
$25,715 交易量
2026-10-29
<0.5%
$906 交易量
3%
0.5–1.0%
$559 交易量
4%
1.0–1.5%
$660 交易量
5%
1.5–2.0%
$718 交易量
9%
2.0–2.5%
$1,885 交易量
20%
2.5–3.0%
$3,391 交易量
13%
≥3.0%
$17,596 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking places Q3 2026 real GDP growth near 4.4 percent annualized as of early September, reflecting solid contributions from consumer spending, nonresidential investment, and exports that have lifted market-implied odds of a ≥3.0 percent print to 45.5 percent. This contrasts with the unrevised 1.5 percent Q2 outcome and aligns with August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent. Sticky inflation, with August CPI at 3.4 percent and core PCE near 3.3 percent, sustains uncertainty over monetary policy and may temper the pace. Philadelphia Fed forecasters project 2.5 percent for the quarter, while St. Louis Fed nowcasts sit near 2.4 percent, underscoring the range of outcomes still possible before the late-October advance release.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
交易量
$25,715結束日期
2026-10-29市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking places Q3 2026 real GDP growth near 4.4 percent annualized as of early September, reflecting solid contributions from consumer spending, nonresidential investment, and exports that have lifted market-implied odds of a ≥3.0 percent print to 45.5 percent. This contrasts with the unrevised 1.5 percent Q2 outcome and aligns with August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent. Sticky inflation, with August CPI at 3.4 percent and core PCE near 3.3 percent, sustains uncertainty over monetary policy and may temper the pace. Philadelphia Fed forecasters project 2.5 percent for the quarter, while St. Louis Fed nowcasts sit near 2.4 percent, underscoring the range of outcomes still possible before the late-October advance release.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
交易量
$25,715結束日期
2026-10-29市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETRecent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking places Q3 2026 real GDP growth near 4.4 percent annualized as of early September, reflecting solid contributions from consumer spending, nonresidential investment, and exports that have lifted market-implied odds of a ≥3.0 percent print to 45.5 percent. This contrasts with the unrevised 1.5 percent Q2 outcome and aligns with August payroll gains of 162,000 and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1 percent. Sticky inflation, with August CPI at 3.4 percent and core PCE near 3.3 percent, sustains uncertainty over monetary policy and may temper the pace. Philadelphia Fed forecasters project 2.5 percent for the quarter, while St. Louis Fed nowcasts sit near 2.4 percent, underscoring the range of outcomes still possible before the late-October advance release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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