Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus on Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $370-$385 range, with $380-$385 (32.5%) edging $370-$375 (31.6%) amid subdued volatility expectations from current levels near $377. This tight clustering reflects recent Q4 delivery beats surpassing 495,000 vehicles—bolstering revenue growth outlook—and Cybertruck production ramp-up to 1,000/week, partially offsetting margin pressure from aggressive price cuts and softening Europe demand. Competitive dynamics hinge on Tesla's edge in full self-driving software subscriptions versus BYD's cost-lead in China EVs, with swing factors including Friday's producer price index (PPI) release, Fed speakers on rate cuts, and any Elon Musk updates on robotaxi timelines; high trading volume could tip resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$380-$385 22%
$370-$375 21.9%
$375-$380 17%
$365-$370 11.7%
<$360
5%
$360-$365
15%
$365-$370
10%
$370-$375
32%
$375-$380
18%
$380-$385
20%
$385-$390
6%
$390-$395
3%
$395-$400
7%
$400-$405
1%
>$405
1%
$380-$385 22%
$370-$375 21.9%
$375-$380 17%
$365-$370 11.7%
<$360
5%
$360-$365
15%
$365-$370
10%
$370-$375
32%
$375-$380
18%
$380-$385
20%
$385-$390
6%
$390-$395
3%
$395-$400
7%
$400-$405
1%
>$405
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus on Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 23 in the $370-$385 range, with $380-$385 (32.5%) edging $370-$375 (31.6%) amid subdued volatility expectations from current levels near $377. This tight clustering reflects recent Q4 delivery beats surpassing 495,000 vehicles—bolstering revenue growth outlook—and Cybertruck production ramp-up to 1,000/week, partially offsetting margin pressure from aggressive price cuts and softening Europe demand. Competitive dynamics hinge on Tesla's edge in full self-driving software subscriptions versus BYD's cost-lead in China EVs, with swing factors including Friday's producer price index (PPI) release, Fed speakers on rate cuts, and any Elon Musk updates on robotaxi timelines; high trading volume could tip resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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