Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於上升
28% 機率
$1,012 交易量
$1,012 交易量
2026-07-17
上升
28% 機率
$1,012 交易量
$1,012 交易量
2026-07-17
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,012結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 下降
無爭議
最終結果: 下降
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$1,012結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 下降
無爭議
最終結果: 下降
Recent national polls released in early July 2026 show President Trump's job approval hovering at 37-40% with net ratings near -18 to -22, including record-low figures in several surveys amid sustained voter dissatisfaction with inflation, economic conditions, and foreign policy matters such as Iran. These results follow modest gains in June and reflect continued erosion in support across independents and some demographic groups. Weekly tracking aggregates indicate limited upward momentum entering the current period, leading traders to assign a 73.5% implied probability that approval will decline this week based on the trajectory of recent polling data and absence of major offsetting developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions