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icon for 特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?

特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?

icon for 特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?

特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$10,965 交易量

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$10,965 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.**No recent public statements, scheduled announcements, or verified reporting indicate that President Trump plans to allege foreign election interference by the country of Georgia before the July 16 deadline.** The longstanding 2020 Georgia (U.S. state) election-related legal matters concluded in late 2025 with charges dropped, and no new developments tie into foreign interference claims. Speculation on social media about possible remarks in an upcoming address exists but lacks confirmation from official sources or Trump’s own communications. Traders appear to view the absence of concrete catalysts—such as declassification orders, press events, or diplomatic statements—as the dominant factor supporting the 59% implied probability on “No.” Resolution hinges strictly on whether Trump makes the specific allegation by the cutoff, with no structural barriers or high-probability triggers evident in the immediate window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.

The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify.

Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia.

A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).

A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify.

Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.

Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.

Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
交易量
$10,965
結束日期
2026-07-16
市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.**No recent public statements, scheduled announcements, or verified reporting indicate that President Trump plans to allege foreign election interference by the country of Georgia before the July 16 deadline.** The longstanding 2020 Georgia (U.S. state) election-related legal matters concluded in late 2025 with charges dropped, and no new developments tie into foreign interference claims. Speculation on social media about possible remarks in an upcoming address exists but lacks confirmation from official sources or Trump’s own communications. Traders appear to view the absence of concrete catalysts—such as declassification orders, press events, or diplomatic statements—as the dominant factor supporting the 59% implied probability on “No.” Resolution hinges strictly on whether Trump makes the specific allegation by the cutoff, with no structural barriers or high-probability triggers evident in the immediate window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.

The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify.

Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia.

A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).

A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify.

Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.

Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.

Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
交易量
$10,965
結束日期
2026-07-16
市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any election in Georgia between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify. The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers"). Allegations against domestic actors, including US-based companies, media organizations, political parties, or election officials, will not qualify. Qualifying statements must explicitly or through context unambiguously refer to the state of Georgia. A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”). A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the elements above (e.g., "China stole the Georgia Senate election," "Russia rigged the vote in Geogia") will qualify. Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify. Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify. Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "川普聲稱喬治亞州在7月16日前遭遇外國選舉干預?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?" is "川普聲稱喬治亞州在7月16日前遭遇外國選舉干預?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普指責格魯吉亞在7月16日前幹涉外國選舉?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.