Recent arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard updates highlight intense competition among Chinese labs for mid-tier positions behind Anthropic’s consistent leader. Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max-0902 posted a preliminary 1688 score on September 2, briefly challenging top models through strong agentic frontend workflows and long-horizon autonomous coding, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 Max sits at 1674 with advantages in tool use and multi-step reasoning. Overlapping confidence intervals and vote volume differences create uncertainty for third-place resolution by late October, as further model iterations or voting shifts could reorder Alibaba, Moonshot, or emerging contenders like Tencent and Z.ai. Traders are monitoring these live Elo movements and efficiency gains in open-weight releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Alibaba 37%
Moonshot 26%
Anthropic 6.1%
OpenAI 5.6%
$34,997 交易量
$34,997 交易量

Alibaba
37%

Moonshot
26%

Anthropic
6%

OpenAI
6%

Meta
5%

Mistral
4%

SpaceXAI
4%

Thinky
2%

Z.ai
2%

DeepSeek
2%

1%

Tencent
1%

ByteDance
1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Poolside
<1%
Alibaba 37%
Moonshot 26%
Anthropic 6.1%
OpenAI 5.6%
$34,997 交易量
$34,997 交易量

Alibaba
37%

Moonshot
26%

Anthropic
6%

OpenAI
6%

Meta
5%

Mistral
4%

SpaceXAI
4%

Thinky
2%

Z.ai
2%

DeepSeek
2%

1%

Tencent
1%

ByteDance
1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Poolside
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Recent arena.ai Code Arena WebDev leaderboard updates highlight intense competition among Chinese labs for mid-tier positions behind Anthropic’s consistent leader. Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max-0902 posted a preliminary 1688 score on September 2, briefly challenging top models through strong agentic frontend workflows and long-horizon autonomous coding, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 Max sits at 1674 with advantages in tool use and multi-step reasoning. Overlapping confidence intervals and vote volume differences create uncertainty for third-place resolution by late October, as further model iterations or voting shifts could reorder Alibaba, Moonshot, or emerging contenders like Tencent and Z.ai. Traders are monitoring these live Elo movements and efficiency gains in open-weight releases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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