Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？ （更高的打擊）
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？ （更高的打擊）
<900m 100.0%
900 - 920m <1%
920 - 940m <1%
940 - 960m <1%
$571,225 交易量
$571,225 交易量
2026-08-31
<900m
Yes
900 - 920m
No
920 - 940m
No
940 - 960m
No
960 - 980m
No
980 - 1000m
No
1000 - 1020m
No
1020 - 1040m
No
1040 - 1060m
No
1060 - 1080m
No
1080m+
No
<900m 100.0%
900 - 920m <1%
920 - 940m <1%
940 - 960m <1%
$571,225 交易量
$571,225 交易量
2026-08-31
<900m
$140,677 交易量
Yes
900 - 920m
$120,456 交易量
No
920 - 940m
$44,809 交易量
No
940 - 960m
$29,584 交易量
No
960 - 980m
$20,264 交易量
No
980 - 1000m
$8,360 交易量
No
1000 - 1020m
$3,789 交易量
No
1020 - 1040m
$1,764 交易量
No
1040 - 1060m
$837 交易量
No
1060 - 1080m
$873 交易量
No
1080m+
$199,810 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
交易量
$571,225結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$571,225結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic run settled at roughly $894 million by August 31, cementing the near-certain market consensus for a sub-$900 million finish. Its record $360 million opening weekend and rapid milestones to $800 million drove early momentum, yet typical post-summer drop-offs—around 45-60% in subsequent frames—prevented the extended legs needed to challenge the higher threshold. Strong critical reception and franchise loyalty sustained top-chart positioning through late August, but competition from other releases and audience fatigue capped the total below $900 million. An upset crossing into the 900-920 million band would have required unusually resilient word-of-mouth or fewer competing tentpoles to extend its theatrical window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions