Spider-Man: Brand New Day's projected $38-41 million fourth weekend reflects its status as a cultural blockbuster with exceptional audience retention, fueled by a record $360 million domestic opening, rapid $2 billion global milestone, and strong word-of-mouth for Tom Holland and Zendaya's latest outing. The MCU tentpole has demonstrated remarkable legs through August, outpacing historical comparables in its first three frames while maintaining top theater counts. Trader consensus aligns with this range based on verified tracking data and typical drops for similar event films. An upset below $35 million or above $44 million would require abrupt shifts like unforeseen competition spikes or accelerated audience fatigue, scenarios not supported by current momentum or industry patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第4週末票房
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第4週末票房
3800-4100萬 100.0%
少於3500萬 <1%
3500萬-3800萬 <1%
4100萬-4400萬 <1%
$143,044 交易量
$143,044 交易量
2026-08-23
少於3500萬
否
3500萬-3800萬
否
3800-4100萬
是
4100萬-4400萬
否
4400萬以上
否
3800-4100萬 100.0%
少於3500萬 <1%
3500萬-3800萬 <1%
4100萬-4400萬 <1%
$143,044 交易量
$143,044 交易量
2026-08-23
少於3500萬
$28,556 交易量
否
3500萬-3800萬
$32,124 交易量
否
3800-4100萬
$51,761 交易量
是
4100萬-4400萬
$23,489 交易量
否
4400萬以上
$7,114 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's projected $38-41 million fourth weekend reflects its status as a cultural blockbuster with exceptional audience retention, fueled by a record $360 million domestic opening, rapid $2 billion global milestone, and strong word-of-mouth for Tom Holland and Zendaya's latest outing. The MCU tentpole has demonstrated remarkable legs through August, outpacing historical comparables in its first three frames while maintaining top theater counts. Trader consensus aligns with this range based on verified tracking data and typical drops for similar event films. An upset below $35 million or above $44 million would require abrupt shifts like unforeseen competition spikes or accelerated audience fatigue, scenarios not supported by current momentum or industry patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
交易量
$143,044結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's projected $38-41 million fourth weekend reflects its status as a cultural blockbuster with exceptional audience retention, fueled by a record $360 million domestic opening, rapid $2 billion global milestone, and strong word-of-mouth for Tom Holland and Zendaya's latest outing. The MCU tentpole has demonstrated remarkable legs through August, outpacing historical comparables in its first three frames while maintaining top theater counts. Trader consensus aligns with this range based on verified tracking data and typical drops for similar event films. An upset below $35 million or above $44 million would require abrupt shifts like unforeseen competition spikes or accelerated audience fatigue, scenarios not supported by current momentum or industry patterns.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$143,044結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Spider-Man: Brand New Day's projected $38-41 million fourth weekend reflects its status as a cultural blockbuster with exceptional audience retention, fueled by a record $360 million domestic opening, rapid $2 billion global milestone, and strong word-of-mouth for Tom Holland and Zendaya's latest outing. The MCU tentpole has demonstrated remarkable legs through August, outpacing historical comparables in its first three frames while maintaining top theater counts. Trader consensus aligns with this range based on verified tracking data and typical drops for similar event films. An upset below $35 million or above $44 million would require abrupt shifts like unforeseen competition spikes or accelerated audience fatigue, scenarios not supported by current momentum or industry patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions