**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 100.0%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億-2.1億 <1%
$60,733 交易量
$60,733 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
Yes
1億8千萬-1億9千萬
否
190-200m
No
2億-2.1億
否
2億1千萬-2億2千萬
否
2.2億以上
否
<180m 100.0%
1億8千萬-1億9千萬 <1%
190-200m <1%
2億-2.1億 <1%
$60,733 交易量
$60,733 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
$41,355 交易量
Yes
1億8千萬-1億9千萬
$5,434 交易量
否
190-200m
$4,010 交易量
No
2億-2.1億
$1,936 交易量
否
2億1千萬-2億2千萬
$3,503 交易量
否
2.2億以上
$4,495 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$60,733結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$60,733結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend but followed with an estimated $145 million in its second frame, landing comfortably below the 180 million threshold that now carries 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The roughly 60% drop aligns with historical patterns for major superhero launches, including Avengers: Endgame, while still ranking as the third-highest second weekend ever. Strong word-of-mouth, minimal competition, and continued international strength have sustained momentum, yet the sophomore figure remains far short of higher brackets. Final actuals and any late adjustments will confirm resolution, with only extreme reporting anomalies likely to shift the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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