SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, confirmed by its May 20, 2026 SEC prospectus filing and May 15 Reuters reporting of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, drives the 57% market-implied probability for a June 12 listing. Faster-than-expected regulatory review enabled the shift from a later June target, with a roadshow slated for June 4 and pricing as early as June 11 supporting the consensus among traders committing real capital. Secondary outcomes around June 15 capture potential minor delays in the share sale process, while lower probabilities for earlier or later dates reflect the tight execution window tied to current momentum in the $1 trillion-plus valuation effort.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於June 12 53%
June 15 17.0%
June 16 12.4%
June 30 or later 5.2%
$11,364 交易量
$11,364 交易量
2026-06-29
June 1 or earlier
<1%
June 2
1%
June 3
1%
June 4
1%
June 5
2%
June 8
1%
June 9
1%
June 10
3%
June 11
3%
June 12
56%
June 15
25%
June 16
12%
June 17
2%
June 18
1%
June 22
<1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
1%
June 25
1%
June 26
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30 or later
5%
June 12 53%
June 15 17.0%
June 16 12.4%
June 30 or later 5.2%
$11,364 交易量
$11,364 交易量
2026-06-29
June 1 or earlier
$134 交易量
<1%
June 2
$130 交易量
1%
June 3
$331 交易量
1%
June 4
$331 交易量
1%
June 5
$270 交易量
2%
June 8
$341 交易量
1%
June 9
$332 交易量
1%
June 10
$352 交易量
3%
June 11
$441 交易量
3%
June 12
$1,544 交易量
56%
June 15
$552 交易量
25%
June 16
$614 交易量
12%
June 17
$600 交易量
2%
June 18
$925 交易量
1%
June 22
$1,031 交易量
<1%
June 23
$118 交易量
<1%
June 24
$731 交易量
1%
June 25
$756 交易量
1%
June 26
$531 交易量
<1%
June 29
$532 交易量
<1%
June 30 or later
$765 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, confirmed by its May 20, 2026 SEC prospectus filing and May 15 Reuters reporting of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, drives the 57% market-implied probability for a June 12 listing. Faster-than-expected regulatory review enabled the shift from a later June target, with a roadshow slated for June 4 and pricing as early as June 11 supporting the consensus among traders committing real capital. Secondary outcomes around June 15 capture potential minor delays in the share sale process, while lower probabilities for earlier or later dates reflect the tight execution window tied to current momentum in the $1 trillion-plus valuation effort.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
交易量
$11,364結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, confirmed by its May 20, 2026 SEC prospectus filing and May 15 Reuters reporting of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, drives the 57% market-implied probability for a June 12 listing. Faster-than-expected regulatory review enabled the shift from a later June target, with a roadshow slated for June 4 and pricing as early as June 11 supporting the consensus among traders committing real capital. Secondary outcomes around June 15 capture potential minor delays in the share sale process, while lower probabilities for earlier or later dates reflect the tight execution window tied to current momentum in the $1 trillion-plus valuation effort.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,364結束日期
2026-06-29市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, confirmed by its May 20, 2026 SEC prospectus filing and May 15 Reuters reporting of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, drives the 57% market-implied probability for a June 12 listing. Faster-than-expected regulatory review enabled the shift from a later June target, with a roadshow slated for June 4 and pricing as early as June 11 supporting the consensus among traders committing real capital. Secondary outcomes around June 15 capture potential minor delays in the share sale process, while lower probabilities for earlier or later dates reflect the tight execution window tied to current momentum in the $1 trillion-plus valuation effort.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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