South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth sits in a tight contest between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges, reflecting the balance between robust AI-driven semiconductor exports and moderating domestic demand. Q2 real GDP expanded 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, supported by record chip shipments and equipment investment, yet private consumption softened to 0.4% sequential growth amid Bank of Korea rate hikes to 3.0% and core inflation near 2.6%. Export momentum remains elevated, with August shipments up sharply, but higher borrowing costs and uneven spillover from semiconductor income introduce downside risks. Traders weigh whether the export-led expansion will sustain above 3% or ease toward the prior consensus range ahead of the October 27 advance estimate and September industrial and consumption data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3.0–3.4% 35%
2.5–2.9% 33%
2.0–2.4% 16%
3.5–3.9% 14.5%
$44,266 交易量
$44,266 交易量
2026-10-26
低於2.0%
4%
2.0–2.4%
16%
2.5–2.9%
33%
3.0–3.4%
35%
3.5–3.9%
14%
4.0–4.4%
5%
4.5–4.9%
<1%
5.0%以上
1%
3.0–3.4% 35%
2.5–2.9% 33%
2.0–2.4% 16%
3.5–3.9% 14.5%
$44,266 交易量
$44,266 交易量
2026-10-26
低於2.0%
$768 交易量
4%
2.0–2.4%
$12,322 交易量
16%
2.5–2.9%
$6,111 交易量
33%
3.0–3.4%
$21,964 交易量
35%
3.5–3.9%
$1,095 交易量
14%
4.0–4.4%
$896 交易量
5%
4.5–4.9%
$547 交易量
<1%
5.0%以上
$561 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth sits in a tight contest between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges, reflecting the balance between robust AI-driven semiconductor exports and moderating domestic demand. Q2 real GDP expanded 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, supported by record chip shipments and equipment investment, yet private consumption softened to 0.4% sequential growth amid Bank of Korea rate hikes to 3.0% and core inflation near 2.6%. Export momentum remains elevated, with August shipments up sharply, but higher borrowing costs and uneven spillover from semiconductor income introduce downside risks. Traders weigh whether the export-led expansion will sustain above 3% or ease toward the prior consensus range ahead of the October 27 advance estimate and September industrial and consumption data.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
交易量
$44,266結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth sits in a tight contest between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges, reflecting the balance between robust AI-driven semiconductor exports and moderating domestic demand. Q2 real GDP expanded 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, supported by record chip shipments and equipment investment, yet private consumption softened to 0.4% sequential growth amid Bank of Korea rate hikes to 3.0% and core inflation near 2.6%. Export momentum remains elevated, with August shipments up sharply, but higher borrowing costs and uneven spillover from semiconductor income introduce downside risks. Traders weigh whether the export-led expansion will sustain above 3% or ease toward the prior consensus range ahead of the October 27 advance estimate and September industrial and consumption data.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
交易量
$44,266結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETSouth Korea’s Q3 2026 year-over-year GDP growth sits in a tight contest between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% ranges, reflecting the balance between robust AI-driven semiconductor exports and moderating domestic demand. Q2 real GDP expanded 3.7% year-over-year and 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, supported by record chip shipments and equipment investment, yet private consumption softened to 0.4% sequential growth amid Bank of Korea rate hikes to 3.0% and core inflation near 2.6%. Export momentum remains elevated, with August shipments up sharply, but higher borrowing costs and uneven spillover from semiconductor income introduce downside risks. Traders weigh whether the export-led expansion will sustain above 3% or ease toward the prior consensus range ahead of the October 27 advance estimate and September industrial and consumption data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions