**Anthropic's Claude models currently lead the Text Arena Math leaderboard by a clear margin, leaving a tight race among Google, OpenAI, Meta, Z.ai, Alibaba, and Moonshot for second place by end of October.** Recent arena votes show Google's Gemini 3.x variants, OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series, and Meta's muse-spark models clustered within a narrow score band just behind the top Claude entries, while cost-efficient Chinese models from Z.ai and Moonshot post competitive results on math-specific prompts. Trader sentiment reflects this parity, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for multiple labs and lower for OpenAI or Google, as incremental updates, new model drops, or shifts in human preference voting could easily reorder the second spot before the October 31 resolution. No single dominant catalyst has emerged in the past week to break the deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於OpenAI 37%
Google 32%
Anthropic 21%
阿里巴巴 4%
$55,551 交易量
$55,551 交易量
2026-10-31
OpenAI
37%
32%
Anthropic
21%
阿里巴巴
4%
百度
2%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
小米
1%
美團
1%
字節跳動
1%
StepFun
<1%
微軟
<1%
亞馬遜
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 37%
Google 32%
Anthropic 21%
阿里巴巴 4%
$55,551 交易量
$55,551 交易量
2026-10-31
OpenAI
$5,264 交易量
37%
$33,124 交易量
32%
Anthropic
$5,427 交易量
21%
阿里巴巴
$1,401 交易量
4%
百度
$658 交易量
2%
Moonshot
$651 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$749 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$666 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$648 交易量
1%
Meta
$641 交易量
1%
小米
$608 交易量
1%
美團
$959 交易量
1%
字節跳動
$676 交易量
1%
StepFun
$662 交易量
<1%
微軟
$817 交易量
<1%
亞馬遜
$702 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$671 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$521 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$370 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$336 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic's Claude models currently lead the Text Arena Math leaderboard by a clear margin, leaving a tight race among Google, OpenAI, Meta, Z.ai, Alibaba, and Moonshot for second place by end of October.**
Recent arena votes show Google's Gemini 3.x variants, OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series, and Meta's muse-spark models clustered within a narrow score band just behind the top Claude entries, while cost-efficient Chinese models from Z.ai and Moonshot post competitive results on math-specific prompts. Trader sentiment reflects this parity, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for multiple labs and lower for OpenAI or Google, as incremental updates, new model drops, or shifts in human preference voting could easily reorder the second spot before the October 31 resolution. No single dominant catalyst has emerged in the past week to break the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
交易量
$55,551結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic's Claude models currently lead the Text Arena Math leaderboard by a clear margin, leaving a tight race among Google, OpenAI, Meta, Z.ai, Alibaba, and Moonshot for second place by end of October.**
Recent arena votes show Google's Gemini 3.x variants, OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series, and Meta's muse-spark models clustered within a narrow score band just behind the top Claude entries, while cost-efficient Chinese models from Z.ai and Moonshot post competitive results on math-specific prompts. Trader sentiment reflects this parity, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for multiple labs and lower for OpenAI or Google, as incremental updates, new model drops, or shifts in human preference voting could easily reorder the second spot before the October 31 resolution. No single dominant catalyst has emerged in the past week to break the deadlock.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$55,551結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET**Anthropic's Claude models currently lead the Text Arena Math leaderboard by a clear margin, leaving a tight race among Google, OpenAI, Meta, Z.ai, Alibaba, and Moonshot for second place by end of October.** Recent arena votes show Google's Gemini 3.x variants, OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series, and Meta's muse-spark models clustered within a narrow score band just behind the top Claude entries, while cost-efficient Chinese models from Z.ai and Moonshot post competitive results on math-specific prompts. Trader sentiment reflects this parity, with market-implied odds clustered near 50% for multiple labs and lower for OpenAI or Google, as incremental updates, new model drops, or shifts in human preference voting could easily reorder the second spot before the October 31 resolution. No single dominant catalyst has emerged in the past week to break the deadlock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions