LDPR leads trader pricing for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to its established regional structures, consistent mid-teens polling in multiple surveys, and long-standing nationalist positioning that has historically secured parliamentary seats. New People follows closely as traders weigh its appeal to younger and urban voters against methodological differences in recent VTsIOM and FOM data, where the party has fluctuated near or above LDPR in some telephone polls but trails in others. KPRF remains a distant third amid softer support compared to prior cycles, while United Russia's expected first-place dominance leaves the remaining threshold-clearing spots contested among these systemic parties. Recent candidate registration deadlines and pollster divergences have reinforced this ordering without major shifts in the final week before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.4%
$74,825 交易量
$74,825 交易量
2026-09-19
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
55%
New People (NL)
33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
2%
雅布洛科
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.4%
$74,825 交易量
$74,825 交易量
2026-09-19
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$21,358 交易量
55%
New People (NL)
$15,526 交易量
33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,547 交易量
12%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,808 交易量
2%
雅布洛科
$11,123 交易量
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,409 交易量
<1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,103 交易量
<1%
Rodina
$3,951 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.LDPR leads trader pricing for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to its established regional structures, consistent mid-teens polling in multiple surveys, and long-standing nationalist positioning that has historically secured parliamentary seats. New People follows closely as traders weigh its appeal to younger and urban voters against methodological differences in recent VTsIOM and FOM data, where the party has fluctuated near or above LDPR in some telephone polls but trails in others. KPRF remains a distant third amid softer support compared to prior cycles, while United Russia's expected first-place dominance leaves the remaining threshold-clearing spots contested among these systemic parties. Recent candidate registration deadlines and pollster divergences have reinforced this ordering without major shifts in the final week before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
交易量
$74,825結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.LDPR leads trader pricing for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to its established regional structures, consistent mid-teens polling in multiple surveys, and long-standing nationalist positioning that has historically secured parliamentary seats. New People follows closely as traders weigh its appeal to younger and urban voters against methodological differences in recent VTsIOM and FOM data, where the party has fluctuated near or above LDPR in some telephone polls but trails in others. KPRF remains a distant third amid softer support compared to prior cycles, while United Russia's expected first-place dominance leaves the remaining threshold-clearing spots contested among these systemic parties. Recent candidate registration deadlines and pollster divergences have reinforced this ordering without major shifts in the final week before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$74,825結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETLDPR leads trader pricing for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election due to its established regional structures, consistent mid-teens polling in multiple surveys, and long-standing nationalist positioning that has historically secured parliamentary seats. New People follows closely as traders weigh its appeal to younger and urban voters against methodological differences in recent VTsIOM and FOM data, where the party has fluctuated near or above LDPR in some telephone polls but trails in others. KPRF remains a distant third amid softer support compared to prior cycles, while United Russia's expected first-place dominance leaves the remaining threshold-clearing spots contested among these systemic parties. Recent candidate registration deadlines and pollster divergences have reinforced this ordering without major shifts in the final week before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions