**RFK Jr. remains firmly in place as HHS Secretary with strong White House backing as of early October 2026.** The administration has recently loosened messaging controls and positioned him to promote Make America Healthy Again priorities ahead of the midterms, describing him as an asset rather than a liability. Senior officials have stated explicitly that the White House is adamant about retaining him, and no procedural steps or public signals point to an imminent departure before October 31. Earlier rumors of post-midterm changes have not materialized into action. Calls for resignation from Democratic lawmakers and public health organizations continue but lack support from Republicans or the president. Trader consensus at 96% “No” reflects this entrenched position and absence of near-term catalysts. A sudden health event, major scandal, or unexpected policy reversal could still shift dynamics, though none appear imminent within the remaining window.