As of September 2026, the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner, as Paul Giamatti leads at 45.5% implied probability while Miles Teller, Michael Fassbender, and Robert Pattinson trail in the mid-teens and the bulk of the field sits at single digits or lower. This even distribution stems from the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, where most contenders have yet to screen widely and guild or critics' awards remain months away. Trader consensus hinges on upcoming festival debuts, late-year releases, and historical patterns favoring breakout performances in prestige dramas over established names. Key swing factors include SAG-AFTRA and PGA nods plus critical momentum that could consolidate support before voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 46%
蓋·皮爾斯 9%
Robert Pattinson 8.5%
Sam Rockwell 6.6%
$16,129 交易量
$16,129 交易量

Paul Giamatti
46%

蓋·皮爾斯
9%

Robert Pattinson
8%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%

Michael Fassbender
15%
Paul Giamatti 46%
蓋·皮爾斯 9%
Robert Pattinson 8.5%
Sam Rockwell 6.6%
$16,129 交易量
$16,129 交易量

Paul Giamatti
46%

蓋·皮爾斯
9%

Robert Pattinson
8%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Miles Teller
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

Charles Melton
1%

James Ortiz
1%

Michael Fassbender
15%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of September 2026, the Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor market reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner, as Paul Giamatti leads at 45.5% implied probability while Miles Teller, Michael Fassbender, and Robert Pattinson trail in the mid-teens and the bulk of the field sits at single digits or lower. This even distribution stems from the early stage of the 2026 film cycle, where most contenders have yet to screen widely and guild or critics' awards remain months away. Trader consensus hinges on upcoming festival debuts, late-year releases, and historical patterns favoring breakout performances in prestige dramas over established names. Key swing factors include SAG-AFTRA and PGA nods plus critical momentum that could consolidate support before voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions