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icon for 2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎

2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎

icon for 2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎

2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎

奧德賽 53%

La Bola Negra 15%

沙丘：第三部 14%

野馬九號 7%

Polymarket

$200,977 交易量

奧德賽 53%

La Bola Negra 15%

沙丘：第三部 14%

野馬九號 7%

Polymarket

$200,977 交易量

奧德賽

$125,076 交易量

53%

La Bola Negra

$5,018 交易量

15%

沙丘：第三部

$18,308 交易量

14%

野馬九號

$7,841 交易量

7%

挖掘者

$8,554 交易量

6%

海梅計劃

$4,366 交易量

3%

初次登場

$5,080 交易量

3%

峽灣

$4,579 交易量

2%

The Invite

$1,329 交易量

1%

巨獸！

$3,774 交易量

1%

社會清算

$1,193 交易量

<1%

戲劇

$1,254 交易量

<1%

克里夫·布斯歷險記

$1,219 交易量

<1%

克拉麗莎

$1,184 交易量

<1%

約瑟芬

$1,295 交易量

<1%

土星回歸

$1,199 交易量

<1%

Tony

$3,379 交易量

<1%

揭露日

$1,245 交易量

<1%

祖國

$1,187 交易量

<1%

All of a Sudden

$1,199 交易量

<1%

邁克爾

$1,347 交易量

<1%

復仇者聯盟：世界末日

$1,350 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's narrow 52.5% implied probability edges out a broad pack of 2026 releases clustered near 50%, underscoring how early and fluid the Oscars 2027 Best Picture race remains. With no guild or precursor results yet available, trader consensus hinges on initial critical reception, festival buzz, and box-office tracking rather than established momentum. Films like Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra trail at 13.5% and 15%, highlighting the premium on proven awards pedigrees and scale versus emerging dark horses. Late-year releases, streaming metrics, and critics' circles will serve as key swing factors, as historical patterns show September frontrunners frequently realign once voting bodies begin screening season.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$200,977
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's narrow 52.5% implied probability edges out a broad pack of 2026 releases clustered near 50%, underscoring how early and fluid the Oscars 2027 Best Picture race remains. With no guild or precursor results yet available, trader consensus hinges on initial critical reception, festival buzz, and box-office tracking rather than established momentum. Films like Dune: Part Three and La Bola Negra trail at 13.5% and 15%, highlighting the premium on proven awards pedigrees and scale versus emerging dark horses. Late-year releases, streaming metrics, and critics' circles will serve as key swing factors, as historical patterns show September frontrunners frequently realign once voting bodies begin screening season.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$200,977
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奧德賽" at 53%, followed by "La Bola Negra" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎" has generated $201K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎" is "奧德賽" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "La Bola Negra" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳影片獎" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.