In the early phase of the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Original Screenplay shows a tightly contested field with numerous contenders holding equal 50 percent implied probabilities. This reflects the lack of released films, guild activity, or precursor awards to establish clear frontrunners. Wild Horse Nine leads the specified options at 33.5 percent, followed by The Debut at 29.6 percent, driven by known directors, source material, and pre-production buzz, while lower-odds entries like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to less defined campaign narratives. Key differentiators include eventual critical reception, WGA recognition, and academy voters' historical tilt toward standout original voices. Fall festival premieres and early reviews will serve as primary momentum shifters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 34%
The Debut 30.4%
Obsession 11%
Digger 3.6%
$35,463 交易量
$35,463 交易量
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
34%
The Debut
30%
Obsession
11%
Digger
4%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
The Drama
3%
Fjord
2%
Elsinore
7%
Josephine
2%
Club Kid
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
The Debut 30.4%
Obsession 11%
Digger 3.6%
$35,463 交易量
$35,463 交易量
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
$26,611 交易量
34%
The Debut
$1,319 交易量
30%
Obsession
$784 交易量
11%
Digger
$3,061 交易量
4%
The Invite
$59 交易量
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$69 交易量
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 交易量
3%
The Drama
$39 交易量
3%
Fjord
$1,690 交易量
2%
Elsinore
$756 交易量
7%
Josephine
$59 交易量
2%
Club Kid
$543 交易量
1%
A Place in Hell
$69 交易量
1%
The Odyssey
$69 交易量
1%
Fatherland
$40 交易量
1%
The Black Ball
$107 交易量
1%
Forgotten Island
$79 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the early phase of the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Original Screenplay shows a tightly contested field with numerous contenders holding equal 50 percent implied probabilities. This reflects the lack of released films, guild activity, or precursor awards to establish clear frontrunners. Wild Horse Nine leads the specified options at 33.5 percent, followed by The Debut at 29.6 percent, driven by known directors, source material, and pre-production buzz, while lower-odds entries like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to less defined campaign narratives. Key differentiators include eventual critical reception, WGA recognition, and academy voters' historical tilt toward standout original voices. Fall festival premieres and early reviews will serve as primary momentum shifters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$35,463結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the early phase of the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Original Screenplay shows a tightly contested field with numerous contenders holding equal 50 percent implied probabilities. This reflects the lack of released films, guild activity, or precursor awards to establish clear frontrunners. Wild Horse Nine leads the specified options at 33.5 percent, followed by The Debut at 29.6 percent, driven by known directors, source material, and pre-production buzz, while lower-odds entries like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to less defined campaign narratives. Key differentiators include eventual critical reception, WGA recognition, and academy voters' historical tilt toward standout original voices. Fall festival premieres and early reviews will serve as primary momentum shifters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$35,463結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETIn the early phase of the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Original Screenplay shows a tightly contested field with numerous contenders holding equal 50 percent implied probabilities. This reflects the lack of released films, guild activity, or precursor awards to establish clear frontrunners. Wild Horse Nine leads the specified options at 33.5 percent, followed by The Debut at 29.6 percent, driven by known directors, source material, and pre-production buzz, while lower-odds entries like Obsession and Elsinore trail due to less defined campaign narratives. Key differentiators include eventual critical reception, WGA recognition, and academy voters' historical tilt toward standout original voices. Fall festival premieres and early reviews will serve as primary momentum shifters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions