The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 75% implied probability, driven by its May Cannes Competition premiere where directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi won Best Director for the ambitious queer historical epic spanning Spanish history, backed by a high-profile cast including Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close plus Netflix's aggressive awards push. Spain's shortlist of three contenders, announced September 3 with The Black Ball included, reinforces its frontrunner status ahead of the country's final September 16 decision. Other submitted titles such as Fjord, Coward, Possible Love, and All of a Sudden sit lower as the broader field remains fluid with the Academy's September 30 submission deadline still weeks away and the December 15 shortlist months off. Guild precursors and critical consensus will likely shape momentum once more entries lock in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯卡2027 ：最佳國際長片獲獎者
奧斯卡2027 ：最佳國際長片獲獎者
黑色之球 75%
峽灣 14%
可能的愛 6.8%
苦澀聖誕 3.7%
$16,887 交易量
$16,887 交易量
2027-03-14
黑色之球
75%
峽灣
14%
可能的愛
7%
苦澀聖誕
4%
All of a Sudden
3%
懦夫
3%
牛頭怪
2%
摯愛
1%
平行故事
1%
盒子裡的羊
1%
夢想冒險
1%
我愛的人
<1%
祖國
<1%
蘿絲
<1%
希望
<1%
黑色之球 75%
峽灣 14%
可能的愛 6.8%
苦澀聖誕 3.7%
$16,887 交易量
$16,887 交易量
2027-03-14
黑色之球
$7,294 交易量
75%
峽灣
$1,098 交易量
14%
可能的愛
$769 交易量
7%
苦澀聖誕
$548 交易量
4%
All of a Sudden
$628 交易量
3%
懦夫
$799 交易量
3%
牛頭怪
$711 交易量
2%
摯愛
$773 交易量
1%
平行故事
$704 交易量
1%
盒子裡的羊
$672 交易量
1%
夢想冒險
$542 交易量
1%
我愛的人
$412 交易量
<1%
祖國
$685 交易量
<1%
蘿絲
$557 交易量
<1%
希望
$693 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 75% implied probability, driven by its May Cannes Competition premiere where directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi won Best Director for the ambitious queer historical epic spanning Spanish history, backed by a high-profile cast including Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close plus Netflix's aggressive awards push. Spain's shortlist of three contenders, announced September 3 with The Black Ball included, reinforces its frontrunner status ahead of the country's final September 16 decision. Other submitted titles such as Fjord, Coward, Possible Love, and All of a Sudden sit lower as the broader field remains fluid with the Academy's September 30 submission deadline still weeks away and the December 15 shortlist months off. Guild precursors and critical consensus will likely shape momentum once more entries lock in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
交易量
$16,887結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 75% implied probability, driven by its May Cannes Competition premiere where directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi won Best Director for the ambitious queer historical epic spanning Spanish history, backed by a high-profile cast including Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close plus Netflix's aggressive awards push. Spain's shortlist of three contenders, announced September 3 with The Black Ball included, reinforces its frontrunner status ahead of the country's final September 16 decision. Other submitted titles such as Fjord, Coward, Possible Love, and All of a Sudden sit lower as the broader field remains fluid with the Academy's September 30 submission deadline still weeks away and the December 15 shortlist months off. Guild precursors and critical consensus will likely shape momentum once more entries lock in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,887結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETThe Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 75% implied probability, driven by its May Cannes Competition premiere where directors Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi won Best Director for the ambitious queer historical epic spanning Spanish history, backed by a high-profile cast including Penélope Cruz and Glenn Close plus Netflix's aggressive awards push. Spain's shortlist of three contenders, announced September 3 with The Black Ball included, reinforces its frontrunner status ahead of the country's final September 16 decision. Other submitted titles such as Fjord, Coward, Possible Love, and All of a Sudden sit lower as the broader field remains fluid with the Academy's September 30 submission deadline still weeks away and the December 15 shortlist months off. Guild precursors and critical consensus will likely shape momentum once more entries lock in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions