Julianne Moore leads the early 2027 Best Actress market on the strength of industry buzz surrounding her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the current consensus favorite ahead of major fall festival premieres. Inde Navarrette follows with notable momentum from her breakout performance in the surprise horror hit *Obsession*, which achieved strong box office results and prompted Focus Features to launch a dedicated awards campaign. Other names like Renate Reinsve in *Fjord* and Sandra Hüller reflect speculative interest tied to announced projects, though the race remains wide open with no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and 2026 releases still unfolding. Traders are pricing in historical patterns favoring established performers while leaving room for late surges once reviews and precursor results emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎
2027年奧斯卡獎：最佳女主角獎
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,185 交易量
$132,185 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
64%
Inde Navarrette
15%
Renate Reinsve
8%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Julianne Moore 64%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.8%
$132,185 交易量
$132,185 交易量
2027-03-14
Julianne Moore
$88,488 交易量
64%
Inde Navarrette
$25,138 交易量
15%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 交易量
8%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 交易量
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 交易量
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 交易量
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 交易量
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 交易量
1%
Léa Seydoux
$842 交易量
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 交易量
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore leads the early 2027 Best Actress market on the strength of industry buzz surrounding her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the current consensus favorite ahead of major fall festival premieres. Inde Navarrette follows with notable momentum from her breakout performance in the surprise horror hit *Obsession*, which achieved strong box office results and prompted Focus Features to launch a dedicated awards campaign. Other names like Renate Reinsve in *Fjord* and Sandra Hüller reflect speculative interest tied to announced projects, though the race remains wide open with no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and 2026 releases still unfolding. Traders are pricing in historical patterns favoring established performers while leaving room for late surges once reviews and precursor results emerge.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
交易量
$132,185結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore leads the early 2027 Best Actress market on the strength of industry buzz surrounding her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the current consensus favorite ahead of major fall festival premieres. Inde Navarrette follows with notable momentum from her breakout performance in the surprise horror hit *Obsession*, which achieved strong box office results and prompted Focus Features to launch a dedicated awards campaign. Other names like Renate Reinsve in *Fjord* and Sandra Hüller reflect speculative interest tied to announced projects, though the race remains wide open with no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and 2026 releases still unfolding. Traders are pricing in historical patterns favoring established performers while leaving room for late surges once reviews and precursor results emerge.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$132,185結束日期
2027-03-14市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETJulianne Moore leads the early 2027 Best Actress market on the strength of industry buzz surrounding her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, positioning her as the current consensus favorite ahead of major fall festival premieres. Inde Navarrette follows with notable momentum from her breakout performance in the surprise horror hit *Obsession*, which achieved strong box office results and prompted Focus Features to launch a dedicated awards campaign. Other names like Renate Reinsve in *Fjord* and Sandra Hüller reflect speculative interest tied to announced projects, though the race remains wide open with no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and 2026 releases still unfolding. Traders are pricing in historical patterns favoring established performers while leaving room for late surges once reviews and precursor results emerge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions