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icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

icon for 2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主

麥特·戴蒙 27%

約翰·馬克維奇 22.8%

安德魯·斯科特 17%

湯姆·克魯斯 15%

Polymarket

$107,316 交易量

麥特·戴蒙 27%

約翰·馬克維奇 22.8%

安德魯·斯科特 17%

湯姆·克魯斯 15%

Polymarket

$107,316 交易量

icon for 麥特·戴蒙

麥特·戴蒙

$32,103 交易量

27%

icon for 約翰·馬克維奇

約翰·馬克維奇

$5,816 交易量

23%

icon for 安德魯·斯科特

安德魯·斯科特

$11,731 交易量

17%

icon for 湯姆·克魯斯

湯姆·克魯斯

$9,670 交易量

15%

icon for 羅伯特·帕丁森

羅伯特·帕丁森

$4,157 交易量

8%

icon for 提莫西·查拉梅

提莫西·查拉梅

$3,627 交易量

3%

icon for 賽巴斯汀·斯坦

賽巴斯汀·斯坦

$2,694 交易量

3%

icon for 萊恩·葛斯林

萊恩·葛斯林

$4,707 交易量

2%

icon for 傑瑞米·斯特朗

傑瑞米·斯特朗

$3,968 交易量

2%

icon for 哈維爾·巴登

哈維爾·巴登

$2,839 交易量

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,014 交易量

1%

icon for 賈法爾·傑克森

賈法爾·傑克森

$4,140 交易量

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$2,501 交易量

1%

icon for 布萊德·彼特

布萊德·彼特

$8,036 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞當·崔佛

亞當·崔佛

$2,302 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伯特·阿拉馬約

羅伯特·阿拉馬約

$3,039 交易量

<1%

icon for 喬什·奧康納

喬什·奧康納

$1,461 交易量

<1%

icon for 約翰·特托羅

約翰·特托羅

$1,511 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race shows a tight cluster among established names, with Matt Damon at 26.5% on the strength of his physically demanding lead in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster *The Odyssey*. John Malkovich follows closely at 22.9% after strong Venice buzz for his performance in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*, while Andrew Scott (17.0%) and Tom Cruise (15.0%) round out the top tier on auteur-driven projects like *Digger*. These odds reflect campaign momentum from box-office scale, critical reception at festivals, and overdue-narrative appeal rather than any single frontrunner. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival reactions, guild nominations, and the January shortlist, which could shift the field as historical voting patterns favor prestige dramas with strong industry backing.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$107,316
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race shows a tight cluster among established names, with Matt Damon at 26.5% on the strength of his physically demanding lead in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster *The Odyssey*. John Malkovich follows closely at 22.9% after strong Venice buzz for his performance in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*, while Andrew Scott (17.0%) and Tom Cruise (15.0%) round out the top tier on auteur-driven projects like *Digger*. These odds reflect campaign momentum from box-office scale, critical reception at festivals, and overdue-narrative appeal rather than any single frontrunner. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival reactions, guild nominations, and the January shortlist, which could shift the field as historical voting patterns favor prestige dramas with strong industry backing.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$107,316
結束日期
2027-03-14
市場開放時間
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

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Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

52%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "麥特·戴蒙" at 27%, followed by "約翰·馬克維奇" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" has generated $107.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" is "麥特·戴蒙" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·馬克維奇" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡：最佳男主角獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.