Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 80-90 million views in its first week (93.7% implied probability), driven by Jimmy Donaldson's unbroken streak of massive YouTube engagement from recent challenge-style uploads like "Lose 100 Lbs, Win $250,000!" which hit 82 million views in week one, and prior hits exceeding 85 million amid his 380 million subscriber base and optimized thumbnail strategies. This positioning reflects proven algorithmic dominance, viral teaser buzz on social platforms, and consistent first-week surges fueled by cross-channel promotion. An upset to 90M+ (0.4%) could stem from exceptional hype around a mega-stakes giveaway, while lower buckets remain improbable absent major controversies, release delays, or YouTube algorithm shifts; watch for his next thumbnail drop, typically signaling upload within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 93.5%
70-80M 6.1%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$1,216,398 交易量
$1,216,398 交易量
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
94%
90M+
<1%
80-90M 93.5%
70-80M 6.1%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$1,216,398 交易量
$1,216,398 交易量
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
94%
90M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the next MrBeast video garnering 80-90 million views in its first week (93.7% implied probability), driven by Jimmy Donaldson's unbroken streak of massive YouTube engagement from recent challenge-style uploads like "Lose 100 Lbs, Win $250,000!" which hit 82 million views in week one, and prior hits exceeding 85 million amid his 380 million subscriber base and optimized thumbnail strategies. This positioning reflects proven algorithmic dominance, viral teaser buzz on social platforms, and consistent first-week surges fueled by cross-channel promotion. An upset to 90M+ (0.4%) could stem from exceptional hype around a mega-stakes giveaway, while lower buckets remain improbable absent major controversies, release delays, or YouTube algorithm shifts; watch for his next thumbnail drop, typically signaling upload within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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