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icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?

紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?

icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?

紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?

40-59 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$13,196 交易量

40-59 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$13,196 交易量

<20

$446 交易量

No

20-39

$4,163 交易量

No

40-59

$2,523 交易量

Yes

60-79

$2,168 交易量

No

80-99

$509 交易量

No

100-119

$528 交易量

No

120-139

$435 交易量

No

140-159

$459 交易量

No

160-179

$721 交易量

No

180-199

$527 交易量

No

200+

$717 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City's mayor since January 2026, maintains an active official social media presence that has driven trader focus on weekly post volume. Early-term data showed elevated output from the @NYCMayor account, with roughly 5 daily posts during the first quarter, yet recent weeks reflect more variable pacing tied to legislative priorities, endorsements in congressional primaries, and routine city communications. The near-even odds between the 20-39 and 60-79 ranges capture uncertainty over whether normal administrative rhythms or event-driven spikes will prevail in the July 14-21 window. Factors such as scheduled votes, public appearances, or responses to state-federal developments could shift activity levels and widen the gap between these leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$13,196
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City's mayor since January 2026, maintains an active official social media presence that has driven trader focus on weekly post volume. Early-term data showed elevated output from the @NYCMayor account, with roughly 5 daily posts during the first quarter, yet recent weeks reflect more variable pacing tied to legislative priorities, endorsements in congressional primaries, and routine city communications. The near-even odds between the 20-39 and 60-79 ranges capture uncertainty over whether normal administrative rhythms or event-driven spikes will prevail in the July 14-21 window. Factors such as scheduled votes, public appearances, or responses to state-federal developments could shift activity levels and widen the gap between these leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$13,196
結束日期
2026-07-21
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40-59" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?" is "40-59" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年7月14日至7月21日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.