Zohran Mamdani, NYC mayor since January 2026, maintains a consistent X posting cadence through his official @NYCMayor account focused on policy announcements, press events, and routine city updates. Early August developments, including MTA coordination briefings, emergency microgrant programs for child care, extreme weather roundtables, and enforcement actions on illegal devices, align with standard operational communications rather than crisis-driven spikes. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 20-39 range because this matches historical weekly totals from his term, reflecting daily or near-daily activity without elections, scandals, or major emergencies in the August 4-11 window. Factors that could shift outcomes include unexpected breaking events, large-scale incidents, or shifts in scheduled press volume that deviate from baseline patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
20-39 100.0%
<20 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$22,251 交易量
$22,251 交易量
<20
No
20-39
Yes
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
20-39 100.0%
<20 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$22,251 交易量
$22,251 交易量
<20
No
20-39
Yes
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Zohran Mamdani, NYC mayor since January 2026, maintains a consistent X posting cadence through his official @NYCMayor account focused on policy announcements, press events, and routine city updates. Early August developments, including MTA coordination briefings, emergency microgrant programs for child care, extreme weather roundtables, and enforcement actions on illegal devices, align with standard operational communications rather than crisis-driven spikes. Traders assign near-certain probability to the 20-39 range because this matches historical weekly totals from his term, reflecting daily or near-daily activity without elections, scandals, or major emergencies in the August 4-11 window. Factors that could shift outcomes include unexpected breaking events, large-scale incidents, or shifts in scheduled press volume that deviate from baseline patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions