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icon for 紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?

紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?

icon for 紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?

紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$41,611 交易量

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$41,611 交易量

<20

$3,574 交易量

No

20-39

$17,365 交易量

Yes

40-59

$10,498 交易量

No

60-79

$3,286 交易量

No

80-99

$908 交易量

No

100-119

$907 交易量

No

120-139

$1,237 交易量

No

140-159

$949 交易量

No

160-179

$949 交易量

No

180-199

$994 交易量

No

200+

$945 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has established a steady posting cadence tied to routine City Hall announcements, press conferences, and policy updates.** Recent activity in mid-August 2026, including transportation and business grant releases, aligns with patterns that typically generate 3–5 posts per day across platforms. Traders price the 20–39 outcome at near-certainty because eight-day totals for comparable periods have consistently fallen in this band, reflecting institutional communications volume rather than campaign-style bursts. A surge past 40 posts would require multiple high-visibility events, viral controversies, or coordinated multi-post threads within the window; conversely, an unusually quiet stretch with minimal new initiatives could push totals below 20. Resolution hinges on verifiable posts timestamped August 11–18.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$41,611
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has established a steady posting cadence tied to routine City Hall announcements, press conferences, and policy updates.** Recent activity in mid-August 2026, including transportation and business grant releases, aligns with patterns that typically generate 3–5 posts per day across platforms. Traders price the 20–39 outcome at near-certainty because eight-day totals for comparable periods have consistently fallen in this band, reflecting institutional communications volume rather than campaign-style bursts. A surge past 40 posts would require multiple high-visibility events, viral controversies, or coordinated multi-post threads within the window; conversely, an unusually quiet stretch with minimal new initiatives could push totals below 20. Resolution hinges on verifiable posts timestamped August 11–18.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$41,611
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?" has generated $41.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?" is "20-39" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長2026年8月11日至8月18日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.