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icon for NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?

NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?

icon for NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?

NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$4,382 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$2,333 交易量

30%

2026年12月31日

$2,049 交易量

63%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The adjustment ratio and ex-date will be as published in the corporate_actions field of Pyth’s symbol metadata (https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols). The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000). If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Please note that qualification depends solely on Pyth candle data; the Nasdaq figure defines the historical threshold only, and prices from other sources will not be considered except as provided in the preceding paragraph.NVIDIA's stock has traded near its May 2026 all-time high of roughly $236 amid sustained AI infrastructure demand, with recent closes around $212–$230 reflecting post-earnings volatility. The primary driver remains the company's fiscal Q2 results showing $96.2 billion revenue (up 106% year over year) and $89 billion data-center sales, fueled by Blackwell ramp and early Vera Rubin deployments at hyperscalers including CoreWeave, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure. Rubin systems demonstrate up to 3.7x inference throughput gains and superior tokens-per-watt efficiency in MLPerf benchmarks, extending NVIDIA's lead in agentic and large-model workloads. Acquisitions such as Hugging Face bolster ecosystem positioning, while partnerships addressing power constraints and robust FY2028 growth guidance of ~70% reinforce trader confidence. Key near-term catalysts include the November earnings report and continued Rubin production scaling against supply bottlenecks and custom-chip competition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The adjustment ratio and ex-date will be as published in the corporate_actions field of Pyth’s symbol metadata (https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols).

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Please note that qualification depends solely on Pyth candle data; the Nasdaq figure defines the historical threshold only, and prices from other sources will not be considered except as provided in the preceding paragraph.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The adjustment ratio and ex-date will be as published in the corporate_actions field of Pyth’s symbol metadata (https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols). The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000). If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Please note that qualification depends solely on Pyth candle data; the Nasdaq figure defines the historical threshold only, and prices from other sources will not be considered except as provided in the preceding paragraph.
交易量
$4,382
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The adjustment ratio and ex-date will be as published in the corporate_actions field of Pyth’s symbol metadata (https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols). The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000). If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Please note that qualification depends solely on Pyth candle data; the Nasdaq figure defines the historical threshold only, and prices from other sources will not be considered except as provided in the preceding paragraph.NVIDIA's stock has traded near its May 2026 all-time high of roughly $236 amid sustained AI infrastructure demand, with recent closes around $212–$230 reflecting post-earnings volatility. The primary driver remains the company's fiscal Q2 results showing $96.2 billion revenue (up 106% year over year) and $89 billion data-center sales, fueled by Blackwell ramp and early Vera Rubin deployments at hyperscalers including CoreWeave, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure. Rubin systems demonstrate up to 3.7x inference throughput gains and superior tokens-per-watt efficiency in MLPerf benchmarks, extending NVIDIA's lead in agentic and large-model workloads. Acquisitions such as Hugging Face bolster ecosystem positioning, while partnerships addressing power constraints and robust FY2028 growth guidance of ~70% reinforce trader confidence. Key near-term catalysts include the November earnings report and continued Rubin production scaling against supply bottlenecks and custom-chip competition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The adjustment ratio and ex-date will be as published in the corporate_actions field of Pyth’s symbol metadata (https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols).

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Please note that qualification depends solely on Pyth candle data; the Nasdaq figure defines the historical threshold only, and prices from other sources will not be considered except as provided in the preceding paragraph.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price above $236.54, NVDA’s official all-time intraday high as published by Nasdaq, set on May 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The adjustment ratio and ex-date will be as published in the corporate_actions field of Pyth’s symbol metadata (https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols). The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000). If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. Please note that qualification depends solely on Pyth candle data; the Nasdaq figure defines the historical threshold only, and prices from other sources will not be considered except as provided in the preceding paragraph.
交易量
$4,382
市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 63%, followed by "2026年9月30日" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?" is "2026年12月31日" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年9月30日" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NVIDIA (NVDA)在___之前創下歷史新高?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.