The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Colin Sutton 100.0%
Christopher John Brown <1%
Mark Rhoades Buckton <1%
Beth Jones <1%
$37,065 交易量
$37,065 交易量
Christopher John Brown
No
Mark Rhoades Buckton
No
Beth Jones
No
Marcus Howard Pearcey
No
Martin Schmierer
No
Colin Sutton
Yes
Matthew Taylor
No
Colin Sutton 100.0%
Christopher John Brown <1%
Mark Rhoades Buckton <1%
Beth Jones <1%
$37,065 交易量
$37,065 交易量
Christopher John Brown
No
Mark Rhoades Buckton
No
Beth Jones
No
Marcus Howard Pearcey
No
Martin Schmierer
No
Colin Sutton
Yes
Matthew Taylor
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Police & Crime Commissioner for Norfolk (https://www.norfolk-pcc.gov.uk/) and the Broadland District Council (https://www.southnorfolkandbroadland.gov.uk/).
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The upcoming Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election on 16 July 2026, triggered by the incumbent's resignation, features a fragmented field of seven candidates including Matthew Taylor for the Conservatives, Martin Schmierer for the Greens, Beth Jones for Labour, Christopher John Brown for the Liberal Democrats, Colin Sutton for Reform UK, Mark Rhoades Buckton for Restore Britain, and Marcus Howard Pearcey as an Independent. This spread, combined with the absence of recent public polling and short campaign timelines after nominations closed in mid-June, sustains even trader pricing by dispersing support across party lines and local priorities like crime reduction and constabulary oversight. Late developments such as targeted voter outreach, cross-party endorsements, or shifts in turnout among rural and urban wards could consolidate preferences and alter implied probabilities ahead of the count.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions