Skip to main content

如需在美國交易,請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?

奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?

icon for 奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?

奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?

$271,661 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$271,661 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 2026年12月31日

2026年12月31日

$269,629 交易量

16%

icon for 2027年3月31日

2027年3月31日

$2,032 交易量

28%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Farage continues to lead Reform UK amid sustained polling strength for the party, though financial scrutiny has intensified pressure on his position. In July 2026 he resigned his Clacton seat to trigger a by-election framed as a public verdict on donation allegations involving a large gift from a crypto investor; he won decisively in August, resuming his parliamentary role. A September party conference in Birmingham featured new controversies, including an undercover report on aides discussing foreign funding that led to their suspension, alongside protests and questions over compliance. Farage has acknowledged family concerns and said he would recognize member preference for a successor such as Zia Yusuf, while stating he intends to lead the party into the next general election and remains committed despite the turbulence. Ongoing parliamentary and potential police reviews of donations represent the primary near-term variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$271,661
結束日期
2027-04-01
市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Farage continues to lead Reform UK amid sustained polling strength for the party, though financial scrutiny has intensified pressure on his position. In July 2026 he resigned his Clacton seat to trigger a by-election framed as a public verdict on donation allegations involving a large gift from a crypto investor; he won decisively in August, resuming his parliamentary role. A September party conference in Birmingham featured new controversies, including an undercover report on aides discussing foreign funding that led to their suspension, alongside protests and questions over compliance. Farage has acknowledged family concerns and said he would recognize member preference for a successor such as Zia Yusuf, while stating he intends to lead the party into the next general election and remains committed despite the turbulence. Ongoing parliamentary and potential police reviews of donations represent the primary near-term variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$271,661
結束日期
2027-04-01
市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2027年3月31日" at 28%, followed by "2026年12月31日" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?" has generated $271.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?" is "2027年3月31日" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奈傑爾·法拉奇( Nigel Farage )成為英國改革領導人... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.