Microsoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$370-$380 99.0%
$360-$370 1.1%
>$410 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$46,656 交易量
$46,656 交易量
2026-04-03
<$320
<1%
320至330美元
<1%
$330-$340
<1%
$340-$350
1%
350-360美元
<1%
$360-$370
1%
$370-$380
99%
$380-$390
<1%
390至400美元
<1%
400-410美元
<1%
>$410
1%
$370-$380 99.0%
$360-$370 1.1%
>$410 <1%
$340-$350 <1%
$46,656 交易量
$46,656 交易量
2026-04-03
<$320
$3,902 交易量
<1%
320至330美元
$1,206 交易量
<1%
$330-$340
$1,116 交易量
<1%
$340-$350
$2,062 交易量
1%
350-360美元
$6,003 交易量
<1%
$360-$370
$11,778 交易量
1%
$370-$380
$10,790 交易量
99%
$380-$390
$3,644 交易量
<1%
390至400美元
$1,268 交易量
<1%
400-410美元
$3,762 交易量
<1%
>$410
$1,126 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$46,656結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$46,656結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ETMicrosoft (MSFT) shares have stabilized firmly in the $370-$380 range, driving 99% market-implied probability for that bin at the week-of-March-30 close (Friday, April 4), as trader consensus prices in the stock's recent rebound from a four-day slide ending March 27 at $356.77. The sharp recovery—closing $358.96 on March 30, $370.17 on March 31, and $369.37 on April 1—reflects broader market stabilization amid low volatility and absence of adverse catalysts, with trading volume normalizing around 45 million shares daily. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores wisdom-of-crowds efficiency, though a pre-close macroeconomic shock, such as hotter-than-expected inflation data or tech sector selloff, could pressure shares below $370 and challenge the consensus. Next quarterly earnings loom in late April.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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