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穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長

icon for 穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長

穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長

$48,802 交易量

2026-09-30
Polymarket

$48,802 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$7,403 交易量

2%

12月31日

$17,812 交易量

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has served as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election in May 2026 for another year amid a conservative parliamentary majority. Recent developments include his prominent role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts earlier in 2026 and public statements on regional security issues. Parliament leadership elections occur annually within the four-year legislative term, with the next vote likely scheduled for 2027 unless internal factional shifts or external pressures intervene. Trader assessments of removal by a near-term deadline reflect the absence of confirmed challenges to his position, historical patterns of re-election for aligned speakers, and the procedural requirements for ousting an incumbent through a floor vote.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,802
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has served as Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election in May 2026 for another year amid a conservative parliamentary majority. Recent developments include his prominent role in U.S.-Iran diplomatic efforts earlier in 2026 and public statements on regional security issues. Parliament leadership elections occur annually within the four-year legislative term, with the next vote likely scheduled for 2027 unless internal factional shifts or external pressures intervene. Trader assessments of removal by a near-term deadline reflect the absence of confirmed challenges to his position, historical patterns of re-election for aligned speakers, and the procedural requirements for ousting an incumbent through a floor vote.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,802
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 17%, followed by "9月30日" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長" has generated $48.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長" is "12月31日" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "穆罕默德·加裏巴夫( Mohammed Ghalibaf )擔任伊朗議會議長" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.