Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《莫阿娜（ 2026 ）》第二周末票房
《莫阿娜（ 2026 ）》第二周末票房
1750萬-1900萬 99.9%
低於1600萬美元 <1%
1600萬-1750萬 <1%
1900萬-2050萬 <1%
$35,356 交易量
$35,356 交易量
2026-07-19
低於1600萬美元
否
1600萬-1750萬
否
1750萬-1900萬
是
1900萬-2050萬
否
2050萬-2200萬
否
2200萬+
否
1750萬-1900萬 99.9%
低於1600萬美元 <1%
1600萬-1750萬 <1%
1900萬-2050萬 <1%
$35,356 交易量
$35,356 交易量
2026-07-19
低於1600萬美元
$5,429 交易量
否
1600萬-1750萬
$8,349 交易量
否
1750萬-1900萬
$9,484 交易量
是
1900萬-2050萬
$10,549 交易量
否
2050萬-2200萬
$1,057 交易量
否
2200萬+
$488 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
交易量
$35,356結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$35,356結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 10:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Disney’s live-action “Moana” opened to a soft $43 million domestically last weekend, well below pre-release tracking of $60 million-plus and the franchise benchmark set by the billion-dollar animated sequel “Moana 2.” That underwhelming debut, coupled with an A- CinemaScore and mixed word-of-mouth amid broader live-action remake fatigue, has shaped trader expectations for a roughly 50% second-weekend drop into the $19-20.5 million range. With the July 10 release still early in its run and no major competing family titles shifting the landscape immediately, the market reflects cautious optimism around modest legs rather than a steeper collapse or surprise rebound.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions