Trader consensus gives the New York Mets a narrow 38% implied probability edge to claim the 2026 NL East crown over the Philadelphia Phillies (36%) and Atlanta Braves (31.5%), underscoring the division's razor-thin parity among powerhouse rotations and star-studded lineups. The Mets vaulted ahead via their franchise-altering December 2024 signing of Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765 million pact, amplifying an already potent core with Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Sean Manaea's rotation stability post-2024 Wild Card success. Phillies, fresh off capturing the 2024 division title before an NLDS ouster to the Mets, rely on Zack Wheeler's extension, Bryce Harper's MVP-caliber bat, and Ranger Suárez's emergence to stay locked in. Braves counter with Ronald Acuña Jr., Spencer Strider's Tommy John recovery, and Reynaldo López's extension, but lingering injury concerns cap their ceiling amid the trio's relentless arms race, leaving Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals as long-shot rebuilders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於紐約大都會 37%
亞特蘭大勇士隊 32%
費城費城人 24%
邁阿密馬林魚 5.7%
$81,799 交易量
$81,799 交易量
紐約大都會
39%
亞特蘭大勇士隊
32%
費城費城人
32%
邁阿密馬林魚
6%
華盛頓國民隊
5%
紐約大都會 37%
亞特蘭大勇士隊 32%
費城費城人 24%
邁阿密馬林魚 5.7%
$81,799 交易量
$81,799 交易量
紐約大都會
39%
亞特蘭大勇士隊
32%
費城費城人
32%
邁阿密馬林魚
6%
華盛頓國民隊
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 National League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus gives the New York Mets a narrow 38% implied probability edge to claim the 2026 NL East crown over the Philadelphia Phillies (36%) and Atlanta Braves (31.5%), underscoring the division's razor-thin parity among powerhouse rotations and star-studded lineups. The Mets vaulted ahead via their franchise-altering December 2024 signing of Juan Soto to a 15-year, $765 million pact, amplifying an already potent core with Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Sean Manaea's rotation stability post-2024 Wild Card success. Phillies, fresh off capturing the 2024 division title before an NLDS ouster to the Mets, rely on Zack Wheeler's extension, Bryce Harper's MVP-caliber bat, and Ranger Suárez's emergence to stay locked in. Braves counter with Ronald Acuña Jr., Spencer Strider's Tommy John recovery, and Reynaldo López's extension, but lingering injury concerns cap their ceiling amid the trio's relentless arms race, leaving Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals as long-shot rebuilders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions