Gunnar Henderson tops trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his elite 2024 breakout—37 home runs, 111 RBI, .280/.364/.529 slash line, and Silver Slugger at shortstop—positioning the 24-year-old Orioles infielder as the consensus top projected AL hitter per ZiPS and Steamer projections amid Baltimore's contention window. Cal Raleigh (19%) gains from catcher-leading power (34 HRs in 2024) and Mariners' lineup protection, while Aaron Judge (18.9%) defends his 2024 Hank Aaron title but faces age-33 regression risks after 58 homers. Bobby Witt Jr. (17%) and Yordan Alvarez (13%) reflect sustained speed-power and slugging prowess, with Royals prospect Nick Kurtz (10.5%) hyped post-2024 draft dominance in minors, though Arizona's NL affiliation tempers AL path. Recent offseason projections and 2024 stat leaders drive this crowded top tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Gunnar Henderson 36%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯 26%
卡爾·羅利 19%
Bobby Witt Jr. 18%
Gunnar Henderson
36%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯
26%
卡爾·羅利
19%
Bobby Witt Jr.
18%
尼克·柯茲
11%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
10%
Corey Seager
9%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
7%
José Ramírez
7%
亞倫·賈吉
20%
Gunnar Henderson 36%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯 26%
卡爾·羅利 19%
Bobby Witt Jr. 18%
Gunnar Henderson
36%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯
26%
卡爾·羅利
19%
Bobby Witt Jr.
18%
尼克·柯茲
11%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
10%
Corey Seager
9%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
7%
José Ramírez
7%
亞倫·賈吉
20%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Gunnar Henderson tops trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his elite 2024 breakout—37 home runs, 111 RBI, .280/.364/.529 slash line, and Silver Slugger at shortstop—positioning the 24-year-old Orioles infielder as the consensus top projected AL hitter per ZiPS and Steamer projections amid Baltimore's contention window. Cal Raleigh (19%) gains from catcher-leading power (34 HRs in 2024) and Mariners' lineup protection, while Aaron Judge (18.9%) defends his 2024 Hank Aaron title but faces age-33 regression risks after 58 homers. Bobby Witt Jr. (17%) and Yordan Alvarez (13%) reflect sustained speed-power and slugging prowess, with Royals prospect Nick Kurtz (10.5%) hyped post-2024 draft dominance in minors, though Arizona's NL affiliation tempers AL path. Recent offseason projections and 2024 stat leaders drive this crowded top tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions