Gunnar Henderson leads trader consensus for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 41% implied probability, driven by his elite 2024 power surge (37 HR, .529 SLG, AL MVP runner-up) and youth (24 years old entering 2026), positioning him for sustained dominance in power-friendly Camden Yards amid Baltimore's rising contention. Aaron Judge trails at 20.1% on perennial MVP-caliber production despite turning 34 and foot injury concerns, while Cal Raleigh (19.5%) benefits from catcher-leading 34 HR in 2024 and T-Mobile Park adjustments. Bobby Witt Jr. (19%) and Yordan Alvarez (13.5%) reflect all-fields power and OPS elite status, with Nick Kurtz's 10.5% nod to prospect hype after a monster college season. No major injuries, trades, or roster shifts in the past 30 days have altered standings, anchoring odds to recent form, age trajectories, and park factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Gunnar Henderson 41%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯 27%
卡爾·羅利 19%
Bobby Witt Jr. 19%
Gunnar Henderson
41%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯
27%
卡爾·羅利
19%
Bobby Witt Jr.
19%
尼克·柯茲
11%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
10%
Corey Seager
9%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
7%
José Ramírez
7%
亞倫·賈吉
20%
Gunnar Henderson 41%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯 27%
卡爾·羅利 19%
Bobby Witt Jr. 19%
Gunnar Henderson
41%
尤爾丹·阿爾瓦雷斯
27%
卡爾·羅利
19%
Bobby Witt Jr.
19%
尼克·柯茲
11%
胡利奧·羅德里格斯
10%
Corey Seager
9%
弗拉迪米爾·格雷羅二世
7%
José Ramírez
7%
亞倫·賈吉
20%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Gunnar Henderson leads trader consensus for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 41% implied probability, driven by his elite 2024 power surge (37 HR, .529 SLG, AL MVP runner-up) and youth (24 years old entering 2026), positioning him for sustained dominance in power-friendly Camden Yards amid Baltimore's rising contention. Aaron Judge trails at 20.1% on perennial MVP-caliber production despite turning 34 and foot injury concerns, while Cal Raleigh (19.5%) benefits from catcher-leading 34 HR in 2024 and T-Mobile Park adjustments. Bobby Witt Jr. (19%) and Yordan Alvarez (13.5%) reflect all-fields power and OPS elite status, with Nick Kurtz's 10.5% nod to prospect hype after a monster college season. No major injuries, trades, or roster shifts in the past 30 days have altered standings, anchoring odds to recent form, age trajectories, and park factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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