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icon for 馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家

icon for 馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家

愛德華多·布拉伊德 83%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當 16%

Felipe Camarão 2.8%

安德烈·路易士 <1%

Polymarket

$26,510 交易量

愛德華多·布拉伊德 83%

奧爾良斯·布蘭當 16%

Felipe Camarão 2.8%

安德烈·路易士 <1%

Polymarket

$26,510 交易量

icon for 愛德華多·布拉伊德

愛德華多·布拉伊德

$12,869 交易量

83%

icon for 奧爾良斯·布蘭當

奧爾良斯·布蘭當

$5,106 交易量

16%

icon for Felipe Camarão

Felipe Camarão

$1,891 交易量

3%

icon for 安德烈·路易士

安德烈·路易士

$2,271 交易量

<1%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$2,059 交易量

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$2,313 交易量

<1%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former mayor of São Luís, leads trader consensus for the Maranhão governor election due to consistent polling advantages in recent surveys ahead of the October 4 first round. Stimulated first-round intentions place him at 44% against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 31%, with Braide also favored in runoff scenarios by margins exceeding 14 points. A rift within the center-left governing coalition, including tensions between Governor Carlos Brandão and allied figures, has fragmented opposition support and limited consolidation behind Brandão, the governor’s nephew and MDB nominee. Early debates and Braide’s formal PSD confirmation have reinforced his frontrunner position, while lower-polling names such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and others trail significantly. The election’s two-round structure leaves room for shifts if turnout or alliances change before voting.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$26,510
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD), the former mayor of São Luís, leads trader consensus for the Maranhão governor election due to consistent polling advantages in recent surveys ahead of the October 4 first round. Stimulated first-round intentions place him at 44% against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 31%, with Braide also favored in runoff scenarios by margins exceeding 14 points. A rift within the center-left governing coalition, including tensions between Governor Carlos Brandão and allied figures, has fragmented opposition support and limited consolidation behind Brandão, the governor’s nephew and MDB nominee. Early debates and Braide’s formal PSD confirmation have reinforced his frontrunner position, while lower-polling names such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and others trail significantly. The election’s two-round structure leaves room for shifts if turnout or alliances change before voting.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$26,510
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "愛德華多·布拉伊德" at 83%, followed by "奧爾良斯·布蘭當" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" has generated $26.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" is "愛德華多·布拉伊德" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧爾良斯·布蘭當" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬拉尼昂州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.