Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$29,172 交易量
$29,172 交易量
2026-08-11
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$29,172 交易量
$29,172 交易量
2026-08-11
<5
$9,442 交易量
Yes
5-9
$6,637 交易量
No
10-14
$3,690 交易量
No
15-19
$2,010 交易量
No
20-24
$1,494 交易量
No
25-29
$1,277 交易量
No
30-34
$1,500 交易量
No
35-39
$473 交易量
No
40-44
$508 交易量
No
45-49
$434 交易量
No
50-54
$582 交易量
No
55-59
$543 交易量
No
60+
$582 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$29,172結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$29,172結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Ali Khamenei’s assassination in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei have shifted the @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival statements rather than new content. Trader consensus at under five posts for August 4–11 reflects this established low-volume pattern, with recent activity limited to occasional written messages on religious commemorations and foreign policy themes. The account’s emphasis on prepared statements over real-time engagement sustains the high probability. A sudden escalation in regional conflict or major domestic announcement could prompt additional direct posts, potentially altering the count within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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