**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年8月11日至8月18日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年8月11日至8月18日？
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$17,735 交易量
$17,735 交易量
2026-08-18
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$17,735 交易量
$17,735 交易量
2026-08-18
<5
$5,739 交易量
Yes
5-9
$3,145 交易量
No
10-14
$1,486 交易量
No
15-19
$1,038 交易量
No
20-24
$991 交易量
No
25-29
$1,470 交易量
No
30-34
$1,383 交易量
No
35-39
$440 交易量
No
40-44
$321 交易量
No
45-49
$358 交易量
No
50-54
$406 交易量
No
55-59
$406 交易量
No
60+
$551 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.**
This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing.
A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$17,735結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.**
This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing.
A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,735結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions