Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 election project Ra’am at five Knesset seats on average, with results ranging from four to six across major surveys, keeping outcomes clustered tightly. The party’s performance reflects steady Arab-sector support under Mansour Abbas, tempered by competition from the Joint List and questions over voter turnout. A late-September Central Elections Committee disqualification attempt, reversed unanimously by the Supreme Court on October 2, resolved participation uncertainty but highlighted procedural volatility that could still influence final mobilization. Traders price the narrow band around five seats because neither the pro- nor anti-Netanyahu bloc has reached a clear majority, leaving Arab lists’ exact totals sensitive to last-minute shifts in turnout or bloc arithmetic. Late-campaign developments in Arab communities or broader coalition signals could widen the range before voting concludes.